The TCU Horned Frogs (3-3) host the #9 ranked Oklahoma Sooners (5-1) on Saturday afternoon in Big 12 action. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST at Amon Carter Stadium and the game will be available on ABC.
Taking a look at the Week 8 college football odds, Oklahoma opened as a 7.5-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has moved by half a point after early betting, as the Sooners are currently listed at -8. The total for the game is sitting at 61 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: TCU vs Oklahoma
Oklahoma is coming off a bye week after a disappointing 48-45 loss to Texas back in Week 6. The Sooners showed a lot of heart after rallying from a 45-24 deficit going into the fourth quarter, scoring three consecutive touchdowns to draw even with the Longhorns with a few minutes left to play. The comeback wasn’t meant to be though, as Texas drilled a last second field goal to pull off the upset. Turnovers proved to be extremely costly for Oklahoma in that contest, as they coughed up the ball three separate times while failing to generate any of their own. The loss likely cost defensive coordinator Mike Stoops his job, as he was fired just two days after the game. QB Kyler Murray has been fantastic for the Sooners, throwing for 1,764 yards and 21 touchdowns in just six games. Murray has also found the end zone five times on the ground this season while racking up almost 400 rushing yards. Oklahoma is currently 5th in the FBS in scoring, as they are averaging 48 points per game on 524.6 total yards. They have moved the ball with ease through the air, averaging 315.8 passing yards per game (14th).
On the other side of the ball, the Sooners have struggled immensely – especially against quality opponents. It will be interesting to see if there are any major changes under new defensive coordinator Ruffin McNeill, who will take over for Stoops the rest of the way this season. Oklahoma is currently giving up an average of 27.3 points per game (76th overall).
TCU got off to a hot start this season, going 2-0 out of the gate before falling back to earth by losing three out of their next four games. The Horned Frogs lost their last game 17-14 to Texas Tech after a tight defensive battle. They had a 14-10 lead heading into the fourth quarter but couldn’t quite hang on, allowing the Red Raiders to score the winning touchdown with about seven minutes left in the game. QB Shawn Robinson has been very inconsistent this year, passing for 1,313 yards and nine touchdowns while also throwing eight interceptions. WR Jalen Reagor has been enjoying a breakout year though, as he has already racked up 37 receptions for 432 yards and three touchdowns. Overall, TCU is averaging only 28.7 points per game (71st overall) on just over 400 total yards. They have been mediocre on the ground and through the air, as they are ranked 64th and 65th overall respectively.
The Horned Frogs have also looked very solid defensively, allowing opponents to score an average of 20.2 points per game (29th overall). They have been exceptional against the pass, as opponents are currently averaging just 182.0 yards per game through the air (20th).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Oklahoma -8
Oklahoma is going to be extremely hungry this weekend after being forced to sit around last weekend after a tough loss to Texas the week prior. I fully expect them to come out ready to make a statement in this game, especially after parting ways with their defensive coordinator. TCU has looked pretty good defensively this year but they certainly aren’t the same Top 10 defensive powerhouse that they have been in prior years. This Sooners offense is really firing on all cylinders, especially in the passing game where they have performed quite well all season long.
Click here for more free NCAAF picks from our top rated handicappers.
TCU is just 4-17 ATS over their last 21 games on grass and 2-4 ATS so far this season. They are also just 1-6 in their last seven games against opponents with a winning record and 0-5 ATS over their last five conference games. Oklahoma is a very solid 12-1 straight up over their last thirteen road games. They have also dominated the Horned Frogs as of late, winning seven out of their last eight meetings.
It is also important to note how much TCU has struggled in the takeaway department so far this season, as they have only managed to force six turnovers in six games while losing the ball 15 times offensively. The Horned Frogs have always been known for having a play-making defense for the last decade or so, but that simply doesn’t seem to be the case anymore with their current -9 turnover differential. Oklahoma will be rested and ready to go after a bye week and should have no problem creating some distance on the scoreboard against a below-average TCU offense. I’ll happily lay the points, as I’m expecting the Sooners to win by 9+ in this spot.