A couple of struggling SEC teams will meet when the Ole Miss Rebels host the Arkansas Razorbacks. Kickoff is set for noon EST on Saturday, October 28 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi. The game will be televised on the SEC Network.
Arkansas opened as 4-point favorites on the road. However, betting has heavily favored the Rebels, and now Ole Miss is listed as a 4-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 64 points. Click here for a full list of Week 9 betting odds and links to game previews.
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Vegas Spread Preview
The Hogs are still searching for their first SEC win of the season. Arkansas lost a close game against Texas A&M back in September, but since then, all of their conference games have been lopsided. At 2-5 overall, the Razorbacks also need four wins in their final five games to reach a bowl game, so this is virtually a must-win game for them.
Ole Miss isn’t in much better shape. The Rebels are 3-4 overall and 1-3 in SEC play. They thought they had a chance to knock off LSU at home last week, but the typically potent Ole Miss offense was slowed down considerably. Quarterback Shea Patterson threw three interceptions before suffering a season-ending knee injury. Without a win against Arkansas, the Rebels will have a tough time making a bowl, so they need this game just as much as the Razorbacks.
The recent history of this long-standing rivalry has resulted in plenty of close games, including a close 34-30 win by Arkansas last year. The Razorbacks have also won 9 of the last 13 meetings between the two teams and currently have a three-game winning streak against Ole Miss.
Free Point Spread Pick & Predictions: Arkansas +4
It’s tough to find a winner between two teams that have done so little winning this year. However, the injury to Patterson is a massive loss for an Ole Miss team that’s been overly reliant on their passing attack this season. With that in mind, I’ll go against the public on this one and lean toward Arkansas and the points.
With Patterson, I might favor Ole Miss. But it’s tough to tell what the Rebels will look like offensively without him. Ole Miss has struggled to run the ball all season, but Patterson’s abilities as a passer have allowed them to average 30 points per game. I’m not sure they can afford to lose their starting quarterback and continue to score points.
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Jordan Ta’amu, a junior college transfer from Hawaii, is expected to start in Patterson’s place. He may help the Rebels to run the ball better. But he has big shoes to fill with regard to Patterson’s talents as a passer. Even against a subpar Arkansas defense, I have concerns about Ole Miss’s offense this week.
Of course, Arkansas is also without starting quarterback Austin Allen, who remains sidelined with an injury. However, backup Cole Kelley is settling in after starting the last two weeks. In those games, he’s faced Alabama and Auburn. After facing two of the better defenses in the SEC, going up against a porous Ole Miss defense should help Kelley.
Both teams have serious questions on both sides of the ball. However, I have fewer concerns about the Razorbacks. At this point, the Arkansas offense has more balance, as the Hogs are still a decent running team. The Razorbacks also have the more experienced quarterback in this game. I’ll take my chances with Arkansas, especially as the underdog.