The New Mexico State Aggies (0-8) head to Oxford this weekend for a late-afternoon clash with the Ole Miss Rebels (3-6). Kickoff is set for 4:00 PM EST on November 9th at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium and the game will be televised on the SEC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Ole Miss opened as a 28.5-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Rebels are currently available at -28.5. The total for the game is sitting at 64 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Ole Miss vs New Mexico State
New Mexico State is still searching for their first win of the season after falling 41-7 against GA Southern on the road their last time out to drop to 0-8 on the season overall. The Aggies gave up 21 unanswered points in the second quarter and never recovered, getting completely shut out on offense over the last 45 minutes of the game. QB Josh Adkins went 13/23 for just 59 passing yards while also throwing two interceptions. RB Jason Huntley was a beast on the ground, racking up 133 rushing yards and a touchdown on 24 carries. Huntley also led the way for the receiving corps despite making just four catches for 11 yards. Overall, New Mexico State gained over 250 total yards of offense and scored just a single touchdown in the loss.
The Aggies had a poor outing on the other side of the ball against GA Southern, allowing over 400 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. New Mexico State really struggled to contain the Eagles rushing duo of J.D. King and Wesley Kennedy III on the ground, as they combined for 286 rushing yards and four touchdowns.
Ole Miss couldn’t find a way to get past #12 overall Auburn last weekend, losing 20-14 on the road to fall back to 3-6 on the season overall. The Rebels battled hard all game but couldn’t manage to overcome surrendering ten unanswered points in the third quarter after trailing by just a field goal at the half. QB John Rhys Plumlee didn’t do much through the air, going 11/21 for 86 passing yards while also getting picked off once. However, he did lead the way on the ground with 92 rushing yards and a touchdown on a team-high 17 carries. None of the receiving corps every really managed to get any momentum going, as Jarod Conner racked up the most yardage despite making just two catches for 33 yards. As a whole, Ole Miss generated almost 300 total yards of offense and scored two touchdowns against a tough Tigers defense.
The Rebels were fairly solid defensively against Auburn, holding the Tigers to just two touchdowns despite surrendering more than 500 total yards of offense. Ole Miss also managed to keep Bo Nix from throwing a single touchdown pass, although he did rush for 20 yards and a score on the ground.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Ole Miss -28.5
While the Rebels have now lost five out of their last six games, they have really performed well against some tough opponents including #12 overall Auburn and #2 overall Alabama. In fact, they managed to cover the spread in both of those games while also staying within a touchdown of Texas A&M back in Week 8. They finally get a break here in Week 11, as New Mexico State has yet to win a game all year while also going a brutal 3-10-1 against the spread over their last 14 games overall. The Aggies have also really struggled defensively, getting torched for 83 total points over just their last two outings combined.
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Ole Miss has really performed well against the spread in recent weeks, covering the number in four out of their last five games overall. They are also a rock-solid 4-1 outright in their last five outings against Independent teams as well. It certainly didn’t go well for New Mexico State the last time these two programs met several years ago, as the Rebels cruised to an easy 52-3 home victory. I’ll happily lay the 28.5 points and roll with the big home favorite on Saturday afternoon, as they will be extremely hungry for a victory after facing a very tough schedule over the past month or so. Give me Ole Miss to cover!