The Virginia Cavaliers (9-4) head to Miami at the end of December to battle the Florida Gators (10-2) in the 2019 Orange Bowl. Kickoff is set for 8:00 PM EST on December 30th at Hard Rock Stadium and the game will be nationally televised on ESPN.
Taking a look at the full list of college bowl betting odds, Florida is currently listed as a 14.5-point favorite. The total for the game is sitting at 54 points. You can also click here to check out our 2019-20 bowl predictions page.
Orange Bowl Vegas Odds Preview: Florida vs Virginia
Virginia saw their four game winning streak come to an end their last time out, getting crushed 62-17 by Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. The Cavaliers gave up 17 unanswered points in the second quarter and never recovered, getting outscored 31-10 over the final 30 minutes of the game. QB Bryce Perkins certainly wasn’t at his best, going 27/43 for 266 passing yards and two touchdowns but also getting picked off twice as well. Hasise Dubois was clearly the star of the game for the Cavs on offense, racking up ten receptions for 130 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, Virginia averaged 33 points and just under 400 total yards of offense through their first 13 outings.
The Cavaliers were pretty average on the other side of the ball this year, giving up just over 25 points and 350 total yards of offense per game. However, Virginia really did a nice job defending against the run for the most part, allowing just 132 rushing yards on a weekly basis.
Florida won three straight games to close out the regular season, beating Florida State 40-17 their last time out to finish with a 10-2 record overall. The Gators scored 23 unanswered points in the second quarter and never looked back, completely shutting out the Seminoles offense in the fourth quarter. QB Kyle Trask played well, going 30/41 for 343 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. Freddie Swain enjoyed a multi-touchdown outing, hitting pay dirt twice on two of his five catches for 62 receiving yards. Overall, Florida averaged 33 points and 420 total yards of offense during the regular season.
The Gators were exceptional defensively this year, limiting their opponents to under 15 points and under 300 total yards of offense per game. Florida was especially strong defending against the run, surrendering under 110 rushing yards per outing.
2019 Orange Bowl Free Betting Pick & Predictions: OVER 54
As tempted as I am by the 14.5 points in what could be a decently competitive matchup, my favorite play from the 2019 Orange Bowl is the OVER on 54 total points scored. Virginia really didn’t fare all that well against the spread this year, going just 6-6-1 ATS through their first 13 games. The Gaters were definitely the much more consistent team both outright and against the spread, going 10-2 overall while also covering the number in seven out of ten outings while also pushing twice as well. However, both schools averaged well over 30 points per game, which leaves me feeling pretty optimistic about the chances of the OVER coming through.
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It is also important to note that the OVER has hit in four out of Florida’s last six games overall and in five out of their last six games played in the month of December. On the other side, the total has also gone OVER in five consecutive games that Virginia has been involved in. The OVER has also occurred in five out of the Cavaliers last six battles against SEC opponents as well. I’m going to avoid throwing darts against a pretty efficient looking spread in favor of the OVER on 54 total points scored in the 2019 Orange Bowl on Monday evening.