The Colorado Buffaloes (3-2) head to Eugene on Friday for a PAC-12 showdown against the #13 overall Oregon Ducks (4-1). Kickoff is set for 10:00 PM EST on October 11th at Autzen Stadium and the game will be televised on FS1.
Taking a look at the Week 7 college football odds, Oregon opened as a 20.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That spread decreased by half a point after early betting, as the Ducks are currently listed at -20. The total for the game is sitting at 56.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Oregon vs Colorado
Colorado dropped to 3-2 on the season overall last weekend after a tough 35-30 loss at home to Arizona. The Buffaloes had a 20-14 lead at the half but couldn’t hold on over the final two quarters, getting outscored 21-10 over the final 30 minutes of the game. QB Steven Montez was 28/42 for 299 yards and a touchdown through the air while RB Alex Fontenot led the way on the ground with 21 carries for 94 rushing yards. Tony Brown also had a very impressive outing, hauling in 10 receptions for 141 yards. As a whole, Colorado racked up just over 500 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
The Buffaloes defense had a very rough outing on the other side of the ball against the Wildcats, giving up just under 500 total yards of offense and five touchdowns. Colorado was especially bad defending against the pass, as Arizona QB Khalil Tate torched them through the air for over 400 passing yards and three touchdowns.
Oregon won their fourth straight game to move to 4-1 on the year overall last weekend, beating Cal 17-7 at home. The Ducks trailed 7-0 at halftime but come out strong in the third quarter, scoring 10 unanswered points en route to a double-digit victory. QB Justin Hebert had a mediocre outing, going 20/33 for 214 yards and a touchdown while also getting picked off once. Travis Dye and CJ Verdell combined for 127 yards on 25 rushing attempts after a solid outing from the Bears run defense. Jaylon Redd scored the only touchdown of the game for Oregon through the air, finding the end zone on one of his five total catches for 36 yards. Overall, the offense generated just under 400 total yards and scored two touchdowns in the win.
The Ducks were outstanding on the other side of the ball against California, giving up only 269 total yards of offense and one touchdown. Oregon was especially impressive defending against the pass, holding Golden Bears QB Devon Modster to 190 yards through the air and picking him off twice.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 56.5
Unless this spread changes a lot before kickoff, I think this number looks fairly efficient and likely doesn’t offer a ton of value either way. While I think that Oregon should be able to win this game outright fairly easily, I am a little bit concerned that they beat both Stanford and Cal by 15 points or less. While Colorado has certainly struggled defensively to start the season, their offense has shown that they have the ability to put some points on the board and stay competitive. In fact, despite their 3-2 record, the Buffaloes last four games overall have been decided by seven points or less. Additionally, the game total for each of those four matchups has been at least 53 points while also exceeding 64 points in three out of the four. With all of that in mind, I think the OVER on 56.5 total points looks like the most optimal play from this PAC-12 clash.
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Even though Oregon has been in a bit of a slump offensively recently, the Ducks offense did score 112 points over two combined games starting back in Week 2. Colorado has also really struggled defensively so far this year, giving up at least 30 points in five consecutive outings. The total has also gone OVER in five out of their last six games overall. I’m going to stick with the OVER on 56.5 in this particular spot, as it should be a fast-paced, exciting game between two conference rivals.