The Stanford Cardinal (1-3) travel to Corvallis this weekend for a PAC-12 battle with the Oregon State Beavers (1-2). Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, September 28th at Reser Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN+.
Taking a look at the Week 5 college football odds, Oregon State opened as a 3-point home underdog earlier this week. That line has shifted by half a point after early betting, as the Beavers are currently listed at +3.5. The total for the game is sitting at 58.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Oregon State vs Stanford
Stanford lost their third game in a row last weekend, falling 21-6 at home against Oregon. The Cardinal fell behind 14-3 in the second quarter and never recovered, only managing to score a field goal the rest of the way. QB K.J. Costello had a rough outing, going just 16/30 for 120 passing yards and no touchdowns while also giving up an interception. RB Cameron Scarlett led the way on the ground, rushing for 97 yards on a team-high 19 carries. WR Michael Wilson had a decent outing, making five receptions for 61 yards. Overall, Stanford generated just over 200 yards of total offense and failed to score a single touchdown against a tough Ducks defense.
The Cardinal were slightly better on the other side of the ball in Week 4, holding a high-flying Oregon offense to under 350 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. However, Stanford certainly had a difficult time trying to slow down Ducks QB Justin Hebert, who threw for 259 yards and three touchdowns in the victory.
Oregon State won their first game of the season their last time out, crushing Cal Poly 45-7 at home to improve to 1-2 on the season overall. The Beavers scored 38 points in the first half alone before shutting out the Mustangs offense entirely over the final two quarters. QB Jake Luton was fantastic, passing for 255 yards and four touchdowns. RB B.J. Baylor also was a big contributor on offense, rushing for 101 yards and a touchdown on only seven carries. WR Champ Flemings exploded for 142 receiving yards and two touchdowns on five catches while Isaiah Hodgins also had a multi-touchdown game, hauling in seven receptions for 81 yards. As a whole, Oregon State gained just under 600 total yards and scored six touchdowns against a weak Cal Poly defense.
The Beavers were also very strong defensively in Week 4, giving up just over 250 yards of total offense and one touchdown. Oregon State really did a great job against the pass, holding Mustangs QB Jalen Hamler to only 112 yards through the air.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Stanford -3.5
Although the Cardinal have really struggled over the first four weeks of the regular season, I think they will finally turn things around on the road here this weekend. Oregon State may have lost one fewer game than Stanford, but they have certainly had a much easier schedule to open the year. The Cardinal have now played USC, UCF, and Oregon back to back to back, which definitely has played a major factor in their lowly 1-3 overall start. However, the Beavers gave up a combined 83 points to Oklahoma State and Hawaii several weeks ago, which certainly doesn’t bode well for them heading into this matchup against a more than capable Stanford offense that has been the victim of some extremely tough opponents as of late.
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While the Cardinal are only 1-4 against the spread over their last five games overall, they are a very impressive 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings with Oregon State. They are also a perfect 9-0 straight up against the Beavers over that same time span. On the other side, Oregon State is only 4-8 against the spread over their last 12 games overall and just 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. Even if the Beavers manage to find a way to stay within striking distance on Saturday evening, Stanford should be able to put this game away late and cover this relatively small spread. I’ll lay the points and take a shot with the road favorite in this particular spot – give me the Cardinal to cover!