The Oregon Ducks (6-3) travel to Salt Lake City this weekend for a Pac-12 matchup with the Utah Utes (6-3). Kickoff is set for 5:30 PM EST at Rice Eccles Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the Pac-12 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Utah opened as a 3.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as the Utes are currently listed at -3.5. The total for the game is sitting at 57 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Utah vs Oregon
Oregon snapped a two game losing skid by beating UCLA 42-21 last weekend to improve to 6-3 overall on the season. The Ducks managed to get the ground game going in a big way against the Bruins, as CJ Verdell and Tony Brooks-James combined for 163 rushing yards and two touchdowns. WR Dillon Mitchell also had a huge game for Oregon, racking up 156 yards and two touchdowns on the afternoon. QB Justin Hebert is currently averaging 259.2 passing yards per game and has thrown 22 touchdowns in nine games. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging 37.2 points per game on 443.0 total yards per game. They have really done a nice job moving the ball through the air, averaging 265.3 yards per game (38th overall).
The Ducks haven’t played very well defensively so far this season, allowing opponents to score an average of 27.6 points per game on 392.4 total yards of offense. They have really struggled to defend against the pass, giving up 249.2 yards per game through the air (95th overall).
Utah saw their four game winning streak come to an end last weekend, losing 38-20 on the road to Arizona State. The Sun Devils jumped out to an early 14-0 lead and never looked back, outgaining the Utes by a 536-325 margin. To make things even worse, starting QB Tyler Huntley was forced to leave the game after breaking his collarbone. RB Zack Moss really helped pick up the slack on offense, turning 18 carries into 128 rushing yards and a touchdown. It will be very interesting to see how Utah looks on offense against Oregon here in Week 11, as Huntley is being replaced by backup Jason Shelley who has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season. Overall, the Utes are currently averaging 30.3 points per game on 419.6 yards of total offense. They have been quite impressive on the ground, averaging over 200 rushing yards per game over their first nine games.
On the other side of the ball, Utah is currently giving up just 19.1 points per game on 314.7 total yards of offense. They have really excelled against the rush, limiting opponents to only 100.0 yards per game on the ground (9th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Utah -3.5
A lot of people might be tempted to jump off of the Utah bandwagon this weekend, as Jason Shelley certainly hasn’t played well enough to earn a lot of confidence. However, the presence of Zack Moss and a Top 25 defense should still allow the Utes to take care of business at home on Saturday. Oregon has really struggled to find a balance on offense, as Hebert has been forced to through early and often over the past several weeks when the Ducks fell behind both Arizona and Washington State. It is also important to note that Oregon has been giving up 8+ more points per game than Utah so far this season. As long as Shelley doesn’t commit too many turnovers, Moss and Co. will find a way to pull off the victory.
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Utah is a very impressive 4-1 ATS over their last five home games. They are also 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games against teams with a winning record. Oregon is just 1-6 ATS over their last seven road games. They are also only 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall.
There is no doubt that the loss of Tyler Huntley will make this matchup a lot closer than it would have been several weeks ago. Utah needs to find a way to establish the ground game and stick to it, as Moss was averaging over seven yards per carry last weekend before the offense was forced to abandon the run. Oregon is going to struggle to move the ball against a talented Utes defense, so that should provide plenty of opportunity for Moss to rack up yards on the ground against a below average defense. I’m going to lay the 3.5 points in this spot and roll with the home favorite – give me Utah.