This Sunday the Chicago Bears (9-4) will host the Green Bay Packers (5-7). Kickoff for this NFC North showdown is set for 1:00 EST at Solider Field and will be televised locally on FOX.

Taking a look at the Week 15 NFL odds, the books have Chicago listed as a 6-point home favorite with the total set for 45 points.

NFL Betting Preview & Game Odds: Bears vs Packers

The Bears come into this one off an impressive 15-6 win at home as a 3-point dog to the LA Rams. Those that weren’t taking Chicago seriously, certainly have to be looking at this team a little differently. The Bears held Sean McVay’s high-powered offense to just two field goals and 214 total yards, while also intercepting 4 passes from LA quarterback Jared Goff. Chicago now has a 2.5-game lead with 3 to play, which means one more Bears win or Vikings loss the rest of the way and the Bears are NFC North champs.

Things aren’t looking so good for the Packers, despite the fact that Green Bay comes in off a 34-20 win and cover as a 4-point home favorite agains the Falcons. It was the Packers first game since firing head coach Mike McCarthy. Green Bay can’t win the division and are basically fighting for the final Wild Card spot, but not all hope is lost. A lot of the teams ahead of them have tough matchups this week.

These two teams met back in the season opener, which had quite the change of events. Chicago completely dominated the game early on. The Bears had a 20-0 lead in the 3rd quarter. Then things completely fell apart and the Packers stormed back to pull off an improbable 24-23 win.

NFL Betting Free Pick & Predictions: Packers +6

This is a tough one for me, but I would have to lean towards taking the points with Green Bay. I just can’t pass up getting almost a touchdown with Aaron Rodgers, especially with the Packers’ backs against the wall. As sweet as it would be for the Bears to clinch the NFC North on their home field against Green Bay after 4 straight seasons of finishing last in the division, I got a sneaky feeling that Rodgers is going to find some way to spoil Chicago’s celebration.

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I was actually on the Packers last week in their blowout win against the Falcons, as I expected this team to respond in a real positive way to the firing of McCarthy. I think Rodgers was sick and tired of his play calling and just the overall effort was way better. There’s also just something about this team, when it’s a do-or-die situation, they always seem to find a way to win.

I get the Bears haven’t forgot about that Week 1 loss to the Packers, but this far from a must-win for Chicago and there’s a chance they come out flat off that emotional win at home last week against the Rams.

While the Bears were able to upset Los Angeles, the offense didn’t have the same look to it in Mitch Trubisky’s return to the lineup. I think there’s still some rust he has to shake off and this Green Bay defense is certainly capable of slowing him down.

I also want to point out how not so far fetched it is for Green Bay to make the playoffs. There’s 4 teams ahead of them for the final Wild Card. Three of those are the Eagles Panthers and Redskins. Carolina has to play the Saints and the Eagles visit the Rams this week, while Washington is a complete mess with Josh Johnson starting at quarterback. That leaves the Vikings, who are only 1-game ahead of them and Minnesota has not exactly been playing great football of late.

It’s also worth noting that Rodgers has absolutely owned the Bears in his career. Green Bay is 17-4 (15-6 ATS) in games that Rodgers starts against the Bears and a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 starts at Soldier Field. Give me the Packers +6!