The Philadelphia Eagles are set to host the Green Bay Packers on Monday Night Football. Kickoff for this Week 12 matchup is set for 8:30 EST at Lincoln Financial Field. The game will be televised on ESPN. Oddsmakers have the Eagles as a 4-point favorite with the total at 47 points.

Packers vs Eagles Vegas Spread Preview

Green Bay (4-6) enters off a 24-42 loss at Washington on Sunday Night Football in Week 11. It was the Packers 4th straight loss, since opening the season 4-2. Green Bay is now a full 2-games back of the Lions and Vikings for the top spot in the NFC North.

Philadelphia (5-5) comes in off a 15-26 loss at Seattle. Not a bad loss given how well the Seahawks are playing. The Eagles are now just 2-5 after their surprising 3-0 start. While last in the NFC East, Philadelphia is still in the hunt for a Wild Card spot.

Free Pick & Betting Predictions: Eagles -4

My early lean here is to lay the points with Philadelphia at home. As bad as the Packers are playing, the public continues to hold on hope for this team to turn it around. I just don’t see it happening given the injuries they have been dealt, especially on defense.

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Green Bay has been completely decimated at corner. When you get hit hard at one spot like they have, it’s hard to recover. They are being forced to play guys that would never see the field. The Packers are also hurting at linebacker. Starters Blake Martinez and Jake Ryan are both expected to be out for this game. That could force Clay Matthews to move inside and he’s already playing at less than 100%.

It’s not just the defense where they are hurting. The offensive line is dealing with a number of injuries. They are also lost at running back with Eddie Lacey’s injury. It’s hard to win, when you can’t run the ball and struggle to stop the opposing team from moving the ball.

Green Bay’s only hope is for Rodgers to play great and keep them in games. That’s a big concern here, as he faces a stingy Eagles defense that ranks 9th against the pass (228.9 ypg). It’s also a secondary that plays much better at home. Where opposing QBs are completing just 54.2% of their attempts for 208 ypg. In their last home game, they held Matt Ryan and the Falcons to just 267 yards.

It’s not just the defense that plays better at home. The Eagles are scoring 27.0 ppg and averaging 374.0 ypg at home this season. Philadelphia is 4-0 at home compared to 1-5 on the road this year. It’s similar story for Green Bay, who is 3-2 at home and just 1-4 on the road. The Eagles are outscoring teams 24.1-9.5 at home. The Packers are getting outscored 24.4-32.4 on the road.

It’s also worth pointing out that Green Bay has struggled to cover off an ugly loss. The Packers are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 off a SU loss by 14 or more points. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after giving up more than 30 points.