This Sunday the Carolina Panthers (6-4) are set to host the Seattle Seahawks (5-5) in a NFC clash between two teams fighting for a Wild Card spot. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Bank of America Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 12 NFL odds, the books either have the Panthers at -3.5 or heavy juice on the -3. The total for this matchup is currently at 47.5 points.
Panthers vs Seahawks Vegas Odds Preview
Seattle comes into this one off an impressive 27-24 win at home over the Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football as a 3-point favorite. It didn’t look good early for the Seahawks, as they were down 14-3 at the end of the 1st quarter and while the fought back to take a 17-14 lead, they trailed at the half and didn’t take back the lead until late in the 4th quarter. It was a big time win for Seattle on short rest, as they were fresh off a crushing 31-36 loss to the Rams.
Carolina enters off a 20-19 loss at Detroit as a 4-point road favorite. It was a bit surprising to see the Panthers go for two and the win with just 1:07 left to play. I would have liked my chances of taking the game to OT and getting the win, but that’s not my call to make. A missed extra point and chip-shot 34-yard field goal didn’t help matters and maybe why they elected to go for two. That’s now back-to-back losses for Carolina after they had rolled off 3 in a row.
These two teams last met last met in 2016 at Seattle, which the Seahawks won going away 40-7. It snapped a short 2-game win streak for the Panther, who won at Seattle in the 2015 regular season and beat the Seahawks home later on in the playoffs.
Free Pick & Betting Predictions: Panthers -3
My early lean here would be to lay the field goal at home with the Panthers. I just think this is another one of those ideal spots. We have a talented Carolina team coming off back-to-back road losses laying a short number at home in a game we know they are going to give max effort. I give props to Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson for making the Seahawks respectable, but I feel like they get a little too much love for a couple of close losses to the Rams.
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The other big factor here for me is just how good Carolina has been at home. The Panthers haven’t lost on their home field this season, as they come in at 5-0. Only once in those 5 wins have the books set a number they didn’t cover.
Seattle comes in with 3 road wins, but one was a neutral site game against the Raiders and the other two were at Detroit and Arizona, two of the bottom feeders in the NFC. I just think with Seattle coming off an impressive showing in a prime time game and beating a Packers team that a lot of people expected to win that game, has the Seahawks getting way too much respect here. Green Bay isn’t as good as people think and the home team has such a massive edge in those Thursday games.
Another thing with Seattle, is this is not an ideal matchup for them. The Seahawks have really transformed their running game this year. They are 1st in the NFL at 154.3 ypg, compared to 27th in passing (219.2 ypg). Carolina has the 8th ranked run defense, giving up just 98.5 ypg and it’s even more stingy at home, where they are only giving up 79 ypg.
On the flip side of this, the Panthers are also built on their running game, as they come in 7th in the league at 130.2 ypg. While Seattle sits at a respectable 17th against the run, allowing 111.5 ypg, they are giving up 4.9 yards/carry. I also want to point out I don’t think this Seahawks defense is as good as the numbers say they are. I think they are sugar-coated a bit from a pretty favorable schedule outside of their two games against the Rams.
Panthers are 30-19 ATS under head coach Ron Rivera in home games against fellow NFC opponents. They are also 13-3 ATS under Rivera when coming off back-to-back games where they failed to cover the spread and 9-1 ATS under Rivera when coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. Give me Carolina -3!