The New England Patriots will try to expand their impressive lead in the AFC East this weekend in a divisional match-up against the Buffalo Bills. Kickoff is at 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, December 3rd from New Era Field in Orchard Park, New York. Fans can watch the game on CBS.
Oddsmakers list the Patriots as 8-point road favorites. That line has shifted slightly after early betting, as New England originally opened at -9. The over/under for the game is set at 49 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 13 betting odds and links to more game previews.
Patriots vs Bills Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds
The Patriots won their seventh game in a row last weekend after an impressive 35-17 rout over the Miami Dolphins. QB Tom Brady was dominant yet again, throwing 4 touchdowns on the afternoon while also setting the tone for the rest of the New England offense en route to 417 total yards – 227 of which were through the air. New England also continued their defensive resurgence, limiting Miami to just 10 points on 221 total yards. The Patriots also forced three turnovers and recorded seven sacks. It is now overwhelmingly apparent that this defensive unit has finally figured out a way to turn things around after starting the year dead last in pretty much every major statistical category. New England has won each of their last three games by 18+ points and looks absolutely dominant on both sides of the ball. Baring any sort of injury from here on out, they have to be clear favorites to come out of the AFC and make yet another Super Bowl appearance.
Buffalo got back above .500 on the season (6-5) after an impressive 16-10 road victory over Kansas City last weekend. The Bills had lost three games in a row heading into a match-up with the Chiefs. Not many people expected them to suddenly turn things around in such a tough environment to play in, especially after a brutal 54-24 Week 11 loss against the Chargers. However, the return of Tyrod Taylor as the starting quarterback seemed to spark Buffalo after the disastrous Nathan Peterman experiment their last time out. Taylor, although certainly not spectacular, managed the game well while passing for 183 yards and a touchdown. The Bills also looked extremely solid on defense, holding the Chiefs to 10 points on just 236 yard of total offense.
Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: Patriots -8
As much as Buffalo talks about a renewed sense of confidence after finally ending their losing streak, let’s get serious here for a minute. Yes, they did manage to beat Kansas City and get back into a Wildcard spot. However, the Chiefs have also been in a tailspin lately and the Bills didn’t exactly blow their doors off. The Patriots, on the other hand, are a well-oiled machine right now. They are scoring at will and have even finally managed to get their defense back on track. I think New England should cruise to another double-digit victory in this one. In fact, I would be relatively surprised if the Bills are even within ten points of New England after the end of the 3rd quarter on Sunday afternoon.
Click on the link for more free NFL betting predictions from our experts on staff.
New England is 12-2 ATS over their past fourteen road games. They are also 8-2 in their past ten games against teams with winning records. Finally, the Patriots are also an extremely impressive 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against the AFC. Buffalo, on the other hand, is just 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings against teams from the AFC East. They are also 12-27-2 ATS over their past 41 home games against teams with a winning record. I fully expect these trends to continue this weekend which should mean another relatively easy ATS win for the Patriots. I am shocked that I don’t have to lay double-digit points here with New England.
Finally, Tom Brady has a career record of 26-3 against Buffalo. I know that doesn’t necessarily translate to ATS value, but Brady has also won 8 of his last 11 meetings with the Bills by 10+ points – and that definitely does translate here. The Patriots were 6 point favorites against the (4-5) Oakland Raiders a few weeks ago (somewhat comparable to Buffalo) and dismantled them 33-8. I think something similar happens in this particular spot. Count on New England to keep things rolling this weekend.
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