The New England Patriots (7-0) host the Cleveland Browns (2-4) this weekend for an all-AFC clash from Foxborough. Kickoff is set for 4:25 PM EST on October 27th at Gillette Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Patriots listed as 13-point home favorites. The spread has shifted significantly after early betting, as New England is currently available at -11. The total for this matchup is 43.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 8 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Patriots vs Browns Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Browns have now lost three out of their last four games after falling 32-28 at home against Seattle their last time out. Cleveland was up 20-18 at the half but faltered down the stretch, giving up two touchdowns over the final two quarters en route to a four-point defeat. QB Baker Mayfield went 22/37 for 249 yards and one touchdown but also got picked off three times as well. RB Nick Chubb had a monster game on the ground, rushing for 122 yards and two touchdowns on a team-high 20 carries. Odell Beckham Jr. led the way for the receiving corps, making six catches for 101 yards. Overall, the Browns gained just over 400 total yards of offense and scored four touchdowns despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
Cleveland was terrible defensively against the Seahawks, giving up over 450 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. The Browns had no answer for Seattle RB Chris Carson on the ground, as he rushed for 124 yards and a touchdown on a game-high 24 carries.
New England Patriots
The Patriots won their seventh consecutive game in Week 7, crushing the New York Jets 33-0 on Monday Night Football to move to 7-0 on the season overall. New England jumped out to an early 17-0 lead and never looked back, scoring two more touchdowns and completely shutting out the Jets offense all game long. QB Tom Brady went 31/45 for 249 yards and a touchdown while RB Sony Michel found the end zone three times despite rushing for just 42 yards on 19 carries. James White led the way for the receiving corps, hauling in seven catches for 59 yards. As a whole, the Patriots generated well over 300 total yards of offense and scored four touchdowns in the blowout victory.
New England obviously had a fantastic outing on the other side of the ball in Week 7, giving up well under 200 total yards of offense and pitching a shutout. The Patriots tortured Jets QB Sam Darnold all game long, forcing the sophomore quarterback into a career high five interceptions.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: Patriots -11
There doesn’t really appear to be a ton of value in this particular spot, as the spread is still large enough that New England isn’t an absolute lock to cover by any stretch of the imagination. Still, it’s tough to bet against New England right now, especially with how dominant they have been defensively through their first seven games of the year. The Patriots have given up just 45 total points over their last five games combined, which certainly doesn’t bode well for a Browns offense that has had their fair share of struggles so far this season. New England has also been pretty solid on offense as well, scoring at least 30 points in six out of their last seven outings.
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The Pats are also a very impressive 9-2 against the spread over their last 11 games overall. New England also has dominated opponents from the AFC North as of late, going 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings. On the other side, Cleveland is a brutal 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the Patriots overall. Ultimately, I’d much rather take New England in this AFC matchup on Sunday, so I’ll lay the 11 points and roll with the big home favorite to cover the number – give me the Patriots!