The New York Jets (0-2) travel to Foxborough in Week 3 for an AFC East duel with the New England Patriots (2-0). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on September 22nd at Gillette Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Patriots listed as massive 19.5-point home favorites. That line has skyrocketed after early betting, as New England is currently available at -23.5. The total for this matchup is 44 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 3 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Patriots vs Jets Game Odds & Betting Preview
New York Jets
The Jets are still in search of their first win of the season after falling 23-3 to the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football in Week 2. New York was without QB Sam Darnold, who will miss at least 2-3 more games after contracting mononucleosis. Backup Trevor Siemian got the start before suffering a gruesome leg injury that forced third stringer Luke Falk into action. Falk actually played pretty well, going 20/25 for 198 yards. RB Le’Veon Bell saw a large workload on the ground, rushing 21 times for just 68 yards. WR Robby Anderson made some nice plays down the field, hauling in four passes for 81 yards. Overall, the Jets offense gained under 300 total yards and could only muster a field goal against a tough Cleveland defense.
New York didn’t have their best showing against Baker Mayfield and Co. in Week 2, allowing the Browns to score a pair of touchdowns and rack up almost 400 yards of total offense. They also allowed Odell Beckham Jr. to haul in six receptions for 161 yards and a touchdown after their defensive coordinator called him out publicly during his media availability leading up to kickoff.
New England Patriots
New England continued to roll after beating Pittsburgh in Week 1, as they crushed Miami 43-0 on the road to improve to 2-0 on the season overall. Antonio Brown made a solid impression in his Patriots debut, catching four passes for 56 yards and a touchdown. However, his career in New England was definitely short-lived, as he was released by the team earlier this week after allegedly sending several text messages to someone who is seeking financial damages for an incident dating back to his days as a Pittsburgh Steeler. Nevertheless, New England still has plenty to work with on offense, as Josh Gordon, Phillip Dorsett, and Julian Edelman all made catches against the Dolphins. RB Sony Michel also had a strong showing, rushing 21 times for 81 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, the Pats gained over 375 yards of total offense and scored four touchdowns against a terrible Miami defense.
The Patriots defense was outstanding in Week 2, holding the Miami offense scoreless while also scoring two defensive touchdowns after lengthy interception returns. As a whole, New England intercepted four passes and limited the Dolphins to less than 250 total yards.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: OVER 44
While I would have been happy to take the Patriots when they opened at -19.5, they simply don’t offer the same value at -23.5 – especially since this is a divisional matchup against a half-decent defense. While the Jets have struggled mightily on offense, they have at least looked passable on the defensive side of the ball. New York has only given up 40 points over the first two weeks of the season combined, a pretty decent showing considering they are now on their third string quarterback. While Luke Falk will likely have a rough time in his first NFL start on the road here in Week 3, Le’Veon Bell should help provide a safety blanket on the ground. Still, I wouldn’t be surprised in the least if the Pats manage to score 35+ in this one, which makes the OVER on 44 look like a pretty solid play.
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The Jets should likely find a way to score between 10-14 points in this one, which would be more than enough to push the total past 44 if the New England offense even has an average outing on Sunday afternoon. The Patriots should easily win this game by double-digits, but covering 3+ touchdowns seems like a bit too much of a chore. Even if they do, it should mean that the OVER on 44 points hits as well. The Jets are a better team than Miami on both sides of the ball and should be able to avoid getting shut out – even with Falk starting at quarterback. I don’t like either team against the spread, so I’m going to roll with the OVER in what should be another lopsided victory for New England.