The New England Patriots (7-2) travel to Nashville this weekend for an AFC battle with the Tennessee Titans (4-4). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 11th at Nissan Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Patriots listed as 6.5-point road favorites. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as New England is currently available at -6.5. The total for this matchup is 46.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 10 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Titans vs Patriots Vegas Odds & Game Preview
New England won their sixth game in a row last weekend after an impressive 31-17 home win over Green Bay on Sunday Night Football. The Patriots have really played well since a rocky 1-2 start despite suffering from the injury bug on offense. RB Sony Michel was forced to sit out in Week 9, but it appears he will be ready to suit up for the Pats here in Week 11. QB Tom Brady has really been on a roll as of late, throwing for a minimum of 294 yards in four out of his last five starts. Brady has now passed for 2,494 yards and 17 touchdowns in nine games this season. He really seems to be clicking with recently acquired Josh Gordon, who had his best game in a New England uniform in Week 9, catching five passes for 130 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging 30.0 points per game (5th overall) on 387.6 yards of total offense.
Things have looked much better on the other side of the ball as of late, as the Pats are giving up an average of 22.4 points per game (11th overall) on 381.0 total yards. However, they have struggled a little bit against the pass so far this year, as opponents are averaging 274.2 yards per game through the air (26th overall).
Tennessee improved to .500 last week after a statement 28-14 victory over the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football. The Titans had lost three games in a row heading into Week 9, so it was obviously a huge relief to win on the road in AT&T Stadium to get back to 4-4 on the season. QB Marcus Mariota was fantastic, throwing for 240 yards and two touchdowns. Mariota has really been having a tough year so far, passing for just 1,270 yards and five touchdowns in seven starts. He certainly hasn’t had a ton of help out of the backfield or from his receivers, as no Tennessee player has more than 451 total yards. Overall, the offense is currently averaging only 16.8 points per game (29th overall) on 288.3 total yards.
The Titans have been extremely tough on opposing offenses, as they are currently giving up just 17.6 points per game (1st overall) on 333.5 yards of total offense. They have been especially good against the pass, as opponents are currently averaging 226.3 yards per game through the air (8th overall).
Free NFL Betting Prediction: New England -6.5
I know that Tennessee has looked really strong on defense so far this year, but I’m still jumping all over the Pats in this particular spot. Marcus Mariota has only had one or two good starts all year long, and the amount of good press he got for a two touchdown, 240 performance was a little much in my opinion. There is no way that the Titans can keep pace with a high-flying New England offense that is averaging 30+ points per game right now. Outside of WR Corey Davis – who has 451 receiving yards – no other receiver on Tennessee has more than 300 yards. It isn’t exactly like they are a force on the ground either, as they are only averaging 110.0 rushing yards per game (16th overall).
Click on the link for more free NFL picks from our experts on staff.
The Patriots are a perfect 5-0 ATS over their last five games against the Titans. They are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games and 16-5 ATS over their last 21 games against a team with a losing record. Tennessee is only 5-13-1 ATS over their last 19 home games against teams with a winning road record. They are also 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games in the month of November.
New England has now scored 31+ points in five out of their last six games, while their defensive play has also really improved as of late. Outside of their strong defense, the Titans don’t really have much else going for them right now. They have really struggled moving the ball through the air, averaging only 178.3 passing yards per game (30th overall). Tennessee has also scored 19 points or less in three out of their last four games, so I think New England is clearly the best bet in this matchup – especially considering the current spread. I’m happily laying the 6.5 points and taking the road favorites to cover with ease on Sunday.