The Purdue Boilermakers (0-1) will host the Ohio Bobcats (1-0) on Friday night. One of only two college football games scheduled for that day. The other is Oklahoma State at South Alabama. Kickoff for this contest is 8:00 EST at Ross-Ade Stadium and will be televised on Fox Sports 1.
Taking a look at the week 2 betting lines, oddsmakers currently have Purdue as a 4-point favorite. That’s a decent jump from when the line original opened at Purdue -2.5. The early over/under number for this contest is 56 points.
Ohio vs Purdue Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds
The Bobcats weren’t tested in their opener, as they crushed Hampton at home 59-0, easily covering as a 36.5-point favorite. They also took down the total on their own, as it was just 47.5.
The Bobcats outgained the Pirates 420-108 with most of the damage offensively coming on the ground (248 yards). That’s an impressive win for an Ohio team that is a threat to win the MAC this year, but hard to get too excited given the level of competition.
Purdue came up painfully short in 28-35 loss to No. 16 Louisville as a 25.5-point dog on a neutral field. The game just barely stayed under the total of 66. The Boilermakers had a 21-13 lead midway through the 3rd quarter, but were outscored 28-7 from that point on.
Reigning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson was too much for Purdue, but that was a win for this program. The Boilermakers were just 3-9 last year and have won just 9 total games dating back to 2013. Wins could continue to be hard to come by, especially in Big Ten play, but they look to be more competitive.
Free College Football Betting Prediction: Ohio +4.5
I think a lot of people are going to look at the fact that Purdue was ultra competitive against Louisville as a sign that this team is legit. With that they will assume they should be able to win by at least a touchdown in their home opener over a MAC team. Winning 59-0 over a crap FCS school isn’t going to sway the public towards the Bobcats.
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Ohio is more than capable of winning this game outright. This has the makings of one of the Bobcats better teams in the Frank Solich era (13th year). As mentioned, they are every bit good enough to win the MAC this year. Let’s also not forget this team played Western Michigan tough in the MAC title game last year, losing 23-29 as a 17-point dog.
They aren’t going to be the least bit intimidated playing on the road against a team like Purdue. They won at Kansa by 16 last year and lost by single-digits at Tennessee.
A big concern I have with Purdue is them suffering a letdown. Even if you are big underdog, letting a 8-point lead slip away in the final 25 minutes is going to hurt. Will they be able to turn around and give this Ohio team their full attention? That’s hard to say. Keep in mind they got a big road game at Missouri next week, followed by their Big Ten home opener against the Wolverines.
Another concern for me is the Purdue offense. While the score was close, they only had 51 rushing yards on 21 attempts (2.4 yards/carry). A big part of the struggles on the ground had to do with last year’s leading rusher Markell Jones suffering an injury. One that is expected to keep him out of this game. The Boilermakers also committed 4 turnovers and were aided by 16 Louisville penalties for 110 yards.
It’s also worth noting that Ohio is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games, while Purdue is a mere 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games when playing on 6 or less days of rest. My early lean here has to be on the Bobcats +4.5!