The Purdue Boilermakers (1-1) host the TCU Horned Frogs (1-0) in Week 3 for their first meeting since 1970. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM EST on Saturday, September 14th at Ross-Ade Stadium and the game will be televised on the Big Ten Network.

Taking a look at the Week 3 college football odds, Purdue opened as a small 2-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted by a three full points after early betting, as the Boilermakers are currently listed at +1. The total for the game is sitting at 53 points.

Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Purdue vs TCU

TCU hasn’t played since the end of August, as they had last weekend off to prepare for a rare out of conference matchup. The Horned Frogs won their first game of the year in Week 1, beating visiting AR-Pine Bluff 39-7 in their home opener at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Two different quarterbacks saw plenty of action for TCU in that victory, as Max Duggan and Alex Delton combined for 284 yards passing and one touchdown. Delton also had a big game on the ground, as he led the Horned Frogs in rushing with 67 yards on just seven carries. WR TreVontae Hights turned in a solid performance as well, catching eight passes for 108 yards. As a whole, the TCU offense gained over 450 total yards and scored three touchdowns.

The Horned Frogs defense played extremely well against the Golden Lions, limiting the offense to just over 200 total yards and just one touchdown. TCU was outstanding against the pass in particular, as they didn’t give up a single touchdown through the air and forced two interceptions.

Purdue had a statement win at home in Week 2, beating Vanderbilt 42-24 to get back to .500 overall on the season through two games. The Boilermakers were outstanding on both sides of the ball against the Commodores, although it was the offense that set the tone early in the second half by scoring 14 unanswered points. QB Elijah Sindelar was fantastic, going 34/52 for 509 yards passing and five touchdowns. WR Rondale Moore was clearly Sindelar’s favorite target, hauling in 13 catches for 220 yards and one touchdown. Three other Boilermakers receivers also caught touchdowns, including Brycen Hopkins who found the end zone twice.

The Orange defense was obviously horrific in Week 2, as Maryland gained almost 300 total yards on the ground and through the air. Their rush defense was almost non-existent, as four seperate Terrapins players recorded at least one rushing touchdown.

NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Purdue +1

It’s a bit harder to get an accurate read on this particular matchup considering these two programs haven’t played one another in almost 50 years. The betting markets seem to be all over the place on this game as well, with Purdue opening as almost a field goal favorite before early money jumped all over TCU and moved the line almost four full points. While I will most likely stay away from this spot entirely, I do think that I have a bit more faith in the Boilermakers side for two reasons. First, the offense really showed that they can put points on the board in a hurry last weekend against a decent Vanderbilt squad. Secondly, Purdue seems to be a stronger team at home, as they beat up on Ohio State at Ross-Ade Stadium last year before crushing the Commodores in their first home game of 2019 in Week 2. Their victory last week was just a week removed from a terrible road 34-31 road loss against Nevada, which now looks even more puzzling after the Wolf Pack got hammered 77-6 by Oregon last Saturday.

Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.

TCU struggled to score 40 points against AR-Pine Bluff – an FCS school – which leads me to believe that they will need to keep this game low scoring in order to grind out a win on the road. I’m not so sure the Horned Frogs will manage to hold Sindelar and Co. under 25 points, as Purdue has now scored at least 30 points in two consecutive weeks. All things considered, I think that if this was a pick’em game, I’d be on the Boilermakers. Now that the line has moved enough to make Purdue the underdog, I’ll take the free point and roll with the home side in what should be a tough, competitive matchup.