This Sunday the Oakland Raiders (2-2) will host the Baltimore Ravens (2-2) in a key AFC showdown. Kickoff is set for 4:05 EST at the Coliseum and will be televised locally on CBS.

Oddsmakers currently have Oakland listed as a short home favorite with the total set at 39 points. Click here for a complete Week 5 NFL betting schedule with more links to our game previews.

Ravens vs Raiders Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview

Baltimore comes in off an ugly 26-9 loss at home to division rival Pittsburgh, failing to cover for a second straight week as a 3.5-point dog. The previous week they laid an egg in London and lost 44-7 to the Jaguars as a 3-point favorite. Baltimore did cover their first two games of the season and are 2-2 overall.

Oakland went on the road and lost 10-16 to division rival Denver as a 3.5-point dog. The Raiders lost more than just the game, as starting Derek Carr suffered a back injury that will keep him out at least a couple games. They have lost two straight overall, as the previous week they beat convincingly 27-10 on Sunday Night Football by the Redskins.

These two teams played in Week 4 last year in Baltimore. The Raiders won that contest 28-27 as a 3-point dog. Oakland led 21-12 early in the 4th quarter, but would trail 21-27 with less than 4 minutes to play before scoring the game-winning TD with 2:12 on the clock. The Ravens won the yardage battle 412 to 261 and had a 25 to 13 edge in first downs.

NFL Free Pick & Betting Predictions: Raiders -2.5

I think we are getting some great value here with Oakland laying less than a field goal at home. The only reason the Raiders aren’t a much bigger favorite is the loss of Carr at QB.

Click on the link for more free NFL picks against the betting spread and total.

The thing is, I don’t know the drop off to backup E.J. Manuel is as big as people think. Manuel stepped in and completed 11 of 17 attempts for 106 yards and keep in mind that’s with Denver’s defense knowing Oakland was looking to pass the ball.

This is a good offense for a backup to succeed, as the Raiders have one of the top offensive lines in the game and a bunch of talented weapons on the outside to make life easier on the quarterback.

This could also be the week Marshawn Lynch comes to life, as the Ravens run defense has allowed 166 yards to the Jaguars and 173 to the Steeler the last two weeks. The drop off in run defense for Baltimore is coincided with the injury to defensive tackle Brandon Williams. He’s hasn’t practiced this week and looks unlikely to return for this game.

That’s just one of a laundry list of injuries this Ravens team is dealing with right now. They got 10+ guys on IR and a lot of those are players who were expected to play big roles on this team. To lose the way they did to Jacksonville and come back against their hated rivals and lay another egg, tells me there’s a lot more wrong with this team than people think.

They clearly aren’t playing with much confidence. I think the Raiders rally together with the injury to Carr and pull out the W at home.

Raiders head coach Jack Del Rio is 10-2 ATS when his team is playing at home after 2 straight losses and Oakland is an impressive 10-2 ATS in their last 12 with a line of +3 to -3.