This Sunday the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Los Angeles Rams. Kickoff is set for 4:05 EST at Raymond James Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX. Oddsmakers have the Bucs as a 5.5-point home favorite with the total set at 42 points. Click here for more Week 3 NFL previews and betting odds.

Rams vs Buccaneers Vegas Odds Preview

It’s been an interesting first two weeks of the season for both of these teams, who are each sitting at 1-1.

The Rams got embarrassed in a 28-0 loss to the 49ers on Monday Night Football in Week 1. Only to bounce back and beat the Seahawks at home this past Sunday. Tampa Bay opened with an impressive 31-24 win at Atlanta. Then they laid an egg last week in a 40-7 loss at Arizona.

This will be the fifth straight year these two teams have played each other. The Rams have won each of the last four, including last year’s 31-23 home win as a 1-point favorite. The Bucs last win in the series came at home back in 2010.

Free Point Spread Pick & Predictions: Buccaneers -5.5

We have already seen this line jump quite a bit. The line actually opened at Tampa Bay -3.5. Early line movement typically comes from the sharps. The public does most of their betting closer to game time. I’m not all that concerned about getting a worse number, as I think Tampa Bay wins this one by a touchdown or more.

Click on the link for more free football picks from expert handicappers.

I was spot on last week with my preview on the Rams covering against Seattle at home. You knew that Los Angeles was going to come out and play their hearts out after that ugly loss to the 49ers. It was also their first game at home since moving to LA. On top of that, they always seem to play Seattle tough.

While they went on to win the game outright, it wasn’t the best of performances. The Rams failed to score an offensive touchdown for a second straight week. What’s even more concerning, is we watched the 49ers defense give up over 40 points and 500 yards of offense in their game against Carolina.

I know Tampa’s defense hasn’t played great in their first two games, but they should play well in this spot. The Rams just don’t have a passing threat and the running game isn’t working at the moment. Like SF and Seattle, the Bucs are going to load the box and force LA to beat them by throwing the ball. Something they just don’t have the talent to do.

There’s also a big motivational angle here in favor of the Bucs. Tampa Bay is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after last weeks game. Los Angeles on the other hand are in line for a letdown after a big division win at home.

The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a win by 6 or less and 0-6 ATS off a win against a division opponent. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after playing a team from their division. On top of that, they are 14-30 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 points. As well as 13-27 ATS in their last 40 road games after scoring 17 or less in two straight games.

We also have a strong system in play favoring a fade of all NFL teams in the same spot as the Rams. Road dogs of 3.5-10 points off SU win as a home dog against an opponent off a road loss are just 36-73 (33%) ATS since 1983.