This Sunday the Pittsburgh Steelers will play host to the Los Angeles Rams. Kickoff is set for 4:25 EST at Heinz Field and will be televised locally on FOX.

Oddsmakers opened up this game at Rams -3.5 and that’s where the line sits today. The total has moved some. It opened at 45.5 and is down to 44 and even 43.5 at a few places.

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Vegas Free Game Preview & Betting Odds: Rams vs Steelers

Los Angeles Rams (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS)

Last time we saw the Rams they walked away with a 24-10 win over the Bengals in London, covering as a 12-point favorite. It was an interesting game, as the two teams combined for just 34 points despite combining for 871 yards of total offense.

LA will look to make it 3 in a row with a win over the Steelers. Despite a 5-3 record, the Rams don’t have a lot of room for error right now. That’s because the 49ers lead their division at 8-0 nand the Seahawks are sitting at 7-2.

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4 SU, 4-3 ATS)

Pittsburgh comes into this one off a thrilling 26-24 win and cover as a 1-point home favorite against the Colts. The game had a little bit of everything, but the biggest play of the game came late in the 2nd half when Minkah Fitzpatrick intercepted a pass and returned it 96 yards for a score. Instead of going down by double-digits, the game was all the sudden tied.

A win is a win, but the Steelers offense definitely can’t feel great with how they played. Pittsburgh totaled just 273 yards. Mason Rudolph went 26 of 35, but only managed 191 yards.

Either way it’s been quite a turnaround for the Steelers. They could have easily threw in the towel after starting out 0-3 and losing their future Hall of Fame quarterback to a season-ending injury, but they have rallied to win 4 of 5 and are right in the thick of things for a playoff spot in the AFC.

Free NFL Betting Pick & Predictions: Rams -3.5

My early lean here would be to lay the points with Los Angeles. I give a lot of props to Pittsburgh and how they have continued to play hard, but I just think they are getting a little too much love here. The thing you have to keep in mind is that 3 of their 4 wins have come at home against the Bengals, Dolphins and Colts. Not to mention Indy lost their starting QB early in that game.

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I just don’t think their offense is going to be able to keep up. Pittsburgh has struggled to effectively run the football and Rudolph hasn’t been that impressive. If they can’t run the ball, that’s a problem, because they won’t be able to play keepaway from the Rams offense. Nothing supports this more than the fact that the LA is a perfect 7-0 ATS under Sean McVay against teams who are averaging 90 or less rushing yards game.

The Rams just aren’t covering in this spot, they are destroying teams. Their average margin of victory is by 19.7 ppg (35.1 to 15.4).

Another thing is that you almost just have to back road favorites blindly when coming off a bye. Teams laying points on the road with 2 or more weeks of rest are 100-57 (64%) ATS dating back to 1983. Steelers are also just 2-5 ATS last 7 at home vs a team with a winning road record and Rams are 6-0 ATS last 6 on the road. Give me Los Angeles -3.5!