This Sunday the Green Bay Packers (5-4) will host the Baltimore Ravens (4-5) in a battle of two teams looking to keep their playoff hopes alive. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Lambeau Field and will be televised locally on CBS.
Oddsmakers currently have Baltimore listed as a short 2-point road favorite with the total set at 38 points. Click here for a full breakdown of the Week 11 betting odds, plus more links to our individual game previews.
Ravens vs Packers Vegas Betting Odds & Game Preview
Baltimore had last week off, as they were on their bye. Last time we saw the Ravens was in Week 9, where they fell 20-23 at Tennessee as a 3-point dog. Baltimore is just 2-5 after their 2-0 start to the season, but are still just 1-game back of the Bills for the final Wild Card spot in the AFC.
Green Bay enters off a 23-16 win at division rival Chicago as a 5-point dog. It was the Packers first victory without Aaron Rodgers, as they snapped a 3-game skid both SU and ATS. While Green Bay has a better record than the Ravens, their path to the playoffs is much bleaker, especially with Rodgers sidelined. The Packers are 2-games back of the Vikings for the NFC North lead and are tied with 3 other teams 1-game back of the Panthers for the final Wild Card spot in the NFC.
NFL Betting Predictions and Free Pick Against the Spread: Ravens -2
I believe the fact that Green Bay was able to pull out a victory in Chicago has provided some hope that the Packers aren’t completely done for without Rodgers. I’m not buying it, as I don’t think any player means more to their team than Rodgers. Let’s also not overlook the win came against the Bears, a team they know very well with them being in the same division, plus Chicago is a bad team.
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I know the Ravens haven’t been playing great here of late, but this is a great spot to back them, as Baltimore is coming off of their bye. A big time advantage this late in the season. It’s also a spot in which they have excelled, as they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games off their bye week.
I also love this matchup for the Ravens, who are a top tier defensive team. Baltimore is 6th in the NFL in total defense, giving up just 311 yards/game. While the run defense hasn’t been great, Green Bay isn’t a strong running team and could be without their two best options out of the backfield. Aaron Jones had really come on strong for the Packers, but he’s out 3-6 weeks with an MCL injury and backup Ty Montgomery is questionable with a rib injury. That’s going to put too much pressure on Brett Hundley, who simply isn’t very good.
The big concern with Baltimore is their offense and rightfully so. The Ravens rank 30th out of 32 teams at just 286.6 ypg. However, this Packers defense is getting exposed now that they are being asked to do a lot more with the offense struggling to score. In Green Bay’s 3 games without Rodgers, the defense has allowed 408.3 ypg and 6.4 yards/play.
While the win over the Bears certainly helped keep this line from being more, I also think Green Bay is getting more respect than it deserves on their home field. Keep in mind we already have seen them lose badly at home in two games without Rodgers, falling 17-26 to the Saints and 17-30 to the Lions and that game against Detroit was on Monday Night Football, when you would expect the home field edge to be at it’s strongest. Give me the Ravens -2.