The New England Patriots will play host the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football. Kickoff for this Week 14 matchup is set for 8:30 EST at Gillette Stadium. The game will be televised on ESPN. Oddsmakers have New England as a 7-point favorite with the total at 45.5 points. Click here for more free NFL betting leans and game odds.

Ravens vs Patriots Vegas Odds Preview

Baltimore (7-5) comes into this game off one of their best performances of the season. The Ravens made easy work of the Dolphins in a 38-6 home win. Baltimore led 24-0 at the half and had a 496 to 277 edge in total yards. Keep in mind that was a Miami team that was riding a 6-game winning streak.

New England (10-2) enters off a comfortable 26-10 home win over the Rams. The Patriots led 17-0 at the half and 23-3 going into the 4th quarter. They also finished with a massive 402 to 162 edge in total yards. It was a special win for quarterback Tom Brady. It was the 201st of his career. Breaking Peyton Manning’s record for career victories by a quarterback.

This will be the first meeting between these two teams since they faced off two years ago in the playoffs. New England won that game 35-31, erasing a 14-point 2nd half deficit at home.

Free Betting Pick & Predictions: Ravens +7

My early lean here is on Baltimore catching a touchdown at New England. I know the Patriots are extremely tough to beat at home, but this Ravens team has given them fits. We also saw New England lose at home in a prime time game earlier this season. The Patriots lost 24-31 to the Seahawks in Week 10 as a 7.5-point favorite. Keep in mind that was with New England coming off a bye.

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This will be the first real test for the Patriots since losing tight end Rob Gronkowsi. New England’s offense simply doesn’t produce at the same level without him on the field. It just hasn’t been an issue of late, because of who they have been playing. Their last 3 games have been against the 49ers, Jets and Rams. Where they really miss him is in the red zone and that showed up last week against LA. New England had to settle for 4 field goals, scoring just 26 points on over 400 yards of offense.

Now they face a Baltimore defense that is one of the best in the league. In fact, the Ravens are No. 1 in the NFL in total defense (296.1 ypg) and No. 2 in scoring defense (17.3 ppg). The are rock solid against both the run (73.8 ypg, 1st) and the pass (222.2 ypg, 7th).

They were on top of their game against the Dolphins last week. Holding Miami to just 6-points and 277 yards. With Miami going scoreless until the 4th quarter. That’s a Dolphins team that had scored 27 or more points in 5 of their previous 6 games.

On top of that, Baltimore’s offense played it’s best game of the year. The Ravens hadn’t scored more than 28 points in a game all season prior to putting up 38 on the Dolphins. Joe Flacco was sensational in the win, completing 36 of 47 for 381 yards and 4 scores. Baltimore also had 110 yards on 20 carries on the ground (5.5 yards/carry).

So while New England is flirting with going in the wrong direction, Baltimore is peaking. The other big key here is the Ravens aren’t the least bit intimidated about playing the Patriots. These two have played 8 times since the 2009 season. While New England has won 5 of the 8, only of those came by more than 6-points. Needless to say, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Baltimore won this game outright.