The Pittsburgh Steelers are set to host the Baltimore Ravens in a huge AFC North clash on Sunday Night Football in Week 4. Kickoff is set for 8:20 EST at Heinz Field and will be televised nationally on NBC.
Taking a look at the Week 4 NFL odds, the books opened up the Steelers as a 3.5-point home favorite, but are down to -3 at most books. The total for this matchup is currently sitting at 51 points.
Ravens vs Steelers Vegas Odds Preview
Baltimore comes into this one off a 27-14 win and cover at home over the Broncos as a 5.5-point favorite. The Ravens trailed 14-7 early in the 1st quarter, but the defense shut the door on the Denver offense the rest of the way. It was a nice bounce back game for Baltimore, who didn’t look great in their 23-34 Week 2 loss at Cincinnati.
Pittsburgh secured their first win of the 2018 season, holding on for a 30-27 win at Tampa Bay on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh jumped out to a 30-10 lead at the half, but were shutout in the 2nd half. The Bucs had the ball down just 3-points with 3 minutes to play, but the defense forced a 3-and-out and the Steelers offense secured the victory.
Pittsburgh swept the season series a year ago. They won 26-9 at Baltimore in Week 4 and outscored the Ravens 19-7 in the 4th quarter of their improbable 39-38 win at home in Week 14.
Free Pick & Betting Predictions: Steelers -3
I would have to lean towards laying the 3-points at home with Pittsburgh in this one. Even though the Steelers are coming off a win and cover against the Bucs in a prime time game, I still think this team is being undervalued right now. Not only because of the Le’Veon Bell holdout, but just all the off the field drama that’s been circulating the media outlets.
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I know we are less than a quarter into the season, but this feels like a must-win game for Pittsburgh and I just have a hard time not seeing them deliver in this sot, especially given that it’s a prime time home game. Not to mention, I think this Steelers team is a lot better than their 1-1-1 start would lead people to believe. They could just as easily be 3-0, as they had a 14-point lead in the 4th quarter of their Week 1 tie with the Browns and only lost by 5 at home to the Chiefs.
The absence of Bell hasn’t hindered the Steelers offense much at all. Pittsburgh is 7th in the NFL in scoring at 29.3 ppg and 2nd in the league in total offense at 453.3 ypg. Ben Roethlisberger is off to an incredible start and I just don’t see the Ravens being able to slow him down.
Baltimore could be without several key pieces in this one. We know they won’t have corner Jimmy Smith, who has been their primary weapon to slow down Antonio Brown in previous matchups, as he’s not eligible to return from his suspension until their next game. Fellow corners Brandon Carr and Anthony Averett are also both listed as questionable. Keep in mind corners Maurice Candy, Jaylen Hill and Stanley Jean-Baptise have all been placed on IR. Defensive tackles Michael Pierce and Willie Henry are also both questionable to play, as is star linebacker C.J. Mosley.
I also don’t know that Baltimore is as good as people think. Their two wins both came at home and they were against the Bills and Broncos. In their lone road game, they lost by 11 to the Bengals and trailed by 21 in the 1st half.
The home team has won 4 of the last 5 meetings in the series and while their could be some concern with the Steelers playing on a short week, Pittsburgh is 41-29 ATS at home when playing with 6 or less days of rest under head coach Mike Tomlin and have won these contests by an average of nearly 8 points/game.