The Green Bay Packers (1-0-1) travel to Washington this weekend to take on the Redskins in a battle between two teams looking for their second win of the 2018-19 NFL season . Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, September 24th at FedEx Field. The game will be televised on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Packers as narrow 2.5-point road favorites. The line has shifted only slightly, as Green Bay is currently favored by a field goal. The total for this matchup is 47.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 3 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Redskins vs Packers Vegas Odds & Game Preview
The Packers barely escaped with a 29-29 tie against divisional rival Minnesota last weekend after the Vikings missed two field goals in OT. Green Bay was badly outplayed by Minnesota all game long, as they were out-gained 480-351 in terms of total yardage. QB Aaron Rodgers had another impressive game, passing for 281 yards and a touchdown. Rodgers now has 567 yards and four touchdowns through just two games. He also has the 5th highest quarterback rating in the entire NFL (111.3). As a whole, the Green Bay offense is scoring an average of 26.5 points per game (10th). Their running game still needs some work, however, as the Packers are ranked almost dead last with an average of just 83.5 yards on the ground per game.
Green Bay has certainly had their struggles defensively, as they are ranked below league average in almost every statistical category. The Packers are currently 24th overall in total yards allowed, 26th against the pass, and 18th against the run. Opponents are also scoring an average of 26.0 points per game, which is 23rd overall.
Washington struggled at home last weekend against Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, falling 21-9 to drop to 1-1 on the season. QB Alex Smith had another decent game passing the ball, as the Redskins gained 269 yards through the air but couldn’t find the end zone all game long. While the ground game certainly looked dynamic in Week 1 en route to 182 rushing yards, they looked mediocre at best against a weak Colts run D and only managed to gain 65 yards total. Washington’s biggest flaw through the first two weeks has been converting in the red zone as they are averaging just 16.5 points per game (27th) despite ranking inside the top 15 league-wide in passing (14th), rushing (8th), and total yardage (12th).
The Redskins have been nothing short of fantastic on the other side of the ball, as they are currently 1st overall in terms of total yards allowed. Washington is also ranked 1st against the pass, 10th vs the run, and 2nd in scoring defense after giving up an average of just 13.0 points per game through two weeks.
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay -3
This two teams usually play each other pretty tough and I’m fully expecting that trend to continue this week. The biggest factor for me in this one is probably the matchup between the NFL’s top defense (at least through two weeks) and Rodgers and Co. However, I’m not fully sold on Washington quite yet after looking at how easy there schedule has been through the first two games. The Cardinals are going to be one of the worst teams in the league and just got shut-out by the Rams. Indianapolis is also certainly not an offensive juggernaut, so I think this might be the week the Redskins come back to earth a little bit.
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Green Bay is an impressive 9-4 ATS in their past thirteen September games and 5-2-1 ATS over their past eight meetings with Washington. The favorite is also 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings between these two teams. On the other hand, the Redskins are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten games against the Packers.
While this game might be closer than many are expecting, I still don’t like to bet against Aaron Rodgers in games against non-powerhouses where the line is a field goal or less. Alex Smith has certainly been serviceable and has been completing a high percentage of his passes so far this season. However, although the Packers gave up 400+ yards through the air to the Vikings, Washington certainly doesn’t have a receiver that is in the same category as Stefon Diggs or Adam Thielen. I also think that the Redskins D has looked much better than they actually are due to the caliber of opponents they have faced. Despite having to play on the road, I think Rodgers leads Green Bay to a hard-fought victory in Week 3. I’ll take the Packers to cover.