The New England Patriots (4-0) travel to Maryland this weekend for an inter-conference clash with the Washington Redskins (0-4). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on October 6th at FedEx Field and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Patriots listed as massive 16-point road favorites. That spread has shifted downwards by a full point after early betting, as New England is currently available at -15. The total for this matchup is 43.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 5 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Redskins vs Patriots Game Odds & Betting Preview
New England Patriots
The Patriots managed to grind out a tough 16-10 road victory against AFC East rival Buffalo in Week 4 to win their fourth consecutive game to start the regular season. New England jumped out to an early 13-0 lead in the first quarter before stalling on offense the rest of the way, scoring just a single field goal over the final 45 minutes. QB Tom Brady certainly didn’t bring his A-game, completing well under 50% of his passes for just 150 yards and no touchdowns. Sony Michel managed to rush for 63 yards on 17 carries against a tough Bills run defense while James White led the way in the receiving game with eight catches for 57 yards out of the backfield. Overall, the Pats could only muster 224 total yards and failed to find the end zone on offense in a hard-fought win.
New England was very solid defensively yet again last weekend, giving up just a single touchdown to Buffalo despite surrendering over 400 total yards of offense. The Patriots defense also forced several critical turnovers, including four interceptions.
The Redskins are still in search of their first win of the season after a tough 24-3 road loss to the Giants last weekend. Washington trailed 17-3 in the second quarter and never recovered, failing to score even a single point over the final two quarters. QB Case Keenum got yanked after going 6/11 for 37 yards and an interception, so Dwayne Haskins entered the game in what ended up being a disastrous NFL debut. Haskins struggled immensely right out of the gate, going 9/17 for 107 yards and getting picked off three times. After a lot of media controversy that included several NFL insiders reporting that head coach Jay Gruden didn’t want the front office to draft Haskins, the Redskins announced that Colt McCoy will get the start against New England here in Week 5 to avoid any further speculation.
Washington also had a rough outing defensively in Week 4, giving up 388 yards of total offense and two touchdowns to the Giants. The Redskins really had a tough time trying to slow down backup RB Wayne Gallman, who racked up 118 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns in the absence of Saquon Barkley.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: UNDER 43.5
Even though I think that New England should be able to streamroll the Redskins in this matchup, I just hate laying this many points on the road. While there might still be a tiny bit of value on the Pats side if the spread stays at 15-points or less, I think the best option just might be the UNDER on 43.5 total points scored. I really have my doubts that Washington will even be able to reach double-digits on the scoreboard with Colt McCoy under center here in Week 5. The Patriots defense has also been ridiculously good to start the year, giving up just 24 total points through their first four games combined. I also don’t think that New England will score more than 35 points on Sunday, as they have exceeded that number just once so far this season and it occurred against the hapless Dolphins.
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While the Patriots have scored at least 30 points in three out of their first four games, the UNDER has hit in four out of their last five outings overall. It has also come through in six out of their last eight games on the road. I still might be tempted by New England against the spread if the number finds a way to decrease by at least half a point, but if there is no further movement prior to kickoff I think that the UNDER on 43.5 total points is the optimal play.