This Sunday the Baltimore Ravens will host the Washington Redskins in Week 5 action. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at M&T Bank Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX. Oddsmakers have Baltimore listed as a 4-point favorite and the total set at 45 points.

Redskins vs Ravens Vegas Point Spread Preview

Washington (2-2) comes into this game off a 31-20 home win over the Browns. While the Redskins won and covered, it was a lot closer than the final score would indicate. Washington actually trailed 17-20 going into the 4th quarter.

Baltimore (3-1) suffered their first loss of the season in heartbreaking fashion. The Ravens overcame a 12-21 deficit in the 4th quarter to take a 27-21 lead. Only to give up a late touchdown in a 27-28 loss to the Raiders.

Free Spread Pick & Predictions: Ravens -4

I would have to lay the points on Baltimore at home. Washington comes in off back-to-back wins, but could just as easily be 0-4. They caught a lot of breaks in their 29-27 win at New York in Week 3 and struggled to put away the Browns last week.

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I know Washington beat Cleveland by 11, but they were gifted that game in the 2nd half. After taking a 20-17 lead, the Browns turned it over on 4 straight possessions to end the game. One of those was a fumble on the Redskins 9-yard line. Had they finished off that drive with a touchdown, they more than likely win that game.

It’s also worth noting that Cleveland outgained Washington 380 to 301. That’s now 3 out of 4 games where the Redskins have lost the yardage battle by 50 or more yards.

In comparison, the Ravens have outgained 3 of their 4 opponents, two of those coming by 140+ yards. Last week in their game against the Raiders, they had a massive 412 to 261 edge in total yards.

The fact that they lost that game and trailed by double-digits in the process, has people second guessing how good this team is. I’m not one of them. I think Baltimore is a legit playoff threat in the AFC and a sleeper Super Bowl contender. Washington’s track record against good teams is not great and I think they are going to struggle here.

The Redskins are a one-dimensional offense that relies heavily on the passing game. That’s evident by the fact that they rank 5th in passing and 20th in rushing. Baltimore defense has quietly been one of the best in the league through 4 weeks. The Ravens are allowing just 266.0 ypg. They rank 3rd against the pass and 5th against the run.

The offense is a work in progress, but I like the pieces they have. I look for them to keep getting better as the season goes on. Last week Joe Flacco threw for 298 yards and 2 scores and Terrence West had 113 yards on the ground. Washington’s defense is not good. The Redskins rank 30th against the run (133.0 ypg) and 25th against the pass (280.5 ypg).

I also really like the spot here for the Ravens. Baltimore is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after losing at home last week to the Raiders. Especially with how they dominated on the field and let it slip away late. I actually think this line should be closer to a touchdown. The key here is the public just hasn’t got on board with Baltimore and Washington has covered their last two.