The New Orleans Saints (3-1) are set to host the Washington Redskins (2-1) on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:15 EST at Mercedes-Benz Superdome and will be televised on ESPN.

You are definitely going to want to shop around for the best line in this one, as the Saints are listed anywhere from a 6 to 7-point home favorite. The total for this matchup is currently 53 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 5 NFL odds and for more links to our game previews.

Redskins vs Saints Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview

Washington enters this contest off their bye week. Last time we saw the Redskins they dominated the Packers 31-17 at home as a 2-point underdog. Washington really came out strong against Green Bay, as they scored touchdowns on 4 of their 6 possessions in the 1st half to take a commanding 28-10 lead. It was a nice bounce back performance for the Redskins, who were coming off an ugly 21-9 loss at home to the Colts.

New Orleans enters this one off an impressive 33-18 road win over the Giants, which saw them easily cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. It could have been a lot worse than the final score, as New Orleans had to settle for 4 field goals in the first half. The offense figured things out in the 2nd half and scored 3 touchdowns to put the game out of reach. Alvin Kamara was the star for the Saints, rushing for 134 yards and 3 scores, while also catching 5 passes for 47 yards.

These two teams also played in New Orleans last year. The Saints won in a shootout 34-31 in game that saw 991 total yards of offense, but it was the Redskins who cashed in as 9.5-point dogs.

Free NFL Predictions & Betting Pick: UNDER 53

I would probably lean towards taking the points with Washington, but I just don’t love betting against Drew Brees and the Saints at home in a prime time game. My strongly lean right now for this matchup would have to be on the UNDER 53.

Click on the link for more free NFL picks from our expert handicappers on staff.

I just feel the number here is inflated to the point that there’s just too much value on the UNDER. I think a lot of people are going to see ¬†games involving the Saints this year have seen an average score of 64.4 ppg and the fact that these two combined for 65 points in last year’s meeting in New Orleans and just assume this thing is going to fly over the total.

Last year’s outcome was a bit of a fluke in terms of how many points were scored. The two teams were sitting on 40 midway through the 4th quarter. That was also late in the year with the Redskins dealing with some big injuries on the defensive side of the ball.

With Alex Smith replacing Kirk Cousins, the Redskins are no much more balanced and conservative offense than the previous versions under Cousins who really relied on an aggressive passing attack. The numbers back this up, as Washington finished 28th in the league in rushing last year at 90.5 ypg. While it’s still really early, they are sitting 5th in the NFL in rushing in 2018 at 137.7 ypg. When your attack is built around the ground game, you typically see a lot longer possessions and it also keeps the defense fresh.

Speaking of the Redskins defense, Washington comes into this game ranked 7th in the NFL against the run (90.7 ypg) and 3rd agains the pass (187.3 ypg). They held Andrew Luck and the Colts to just 21 points and Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to only 17, so there’s a good chance this defense continues to shine.

As far as the Saints offense is concerned, their numbers are inflated quite a bit due to the fact that they got to play an atrocious Bucs defense and a depleted Falcons defense. I also think they are going to focus even more on the running game now that Mark Ingram is back from his 4-game suspension. I also think those struggles in the redzone that popped up last week against the Giants could play a big role in this thing staying under the mark. Give me the UNDER 53.