This Sunday the Cincinnati Bengals (5-3) will host the New Orleans Saints (7-1). Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Paul Brown Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 10 NFL betting odds, the books have New Orleans listed either at -5.5 or -6 depending on where you shop. The total for this matchup is currently at 54 points.
NFL Betting Odds & Game Preview: Saints vs Bengals
New Orleans enters this one off an impressive 45-35 win at home over the Rams as a slim 2.5-point road dog. Not only did the Saints hand the Rams their first loss of the season, they extended their winning streak to 8 games and now hold the critical tie-breaker with LA for that No. 1 seed and homefield in the playoffs if the two were to meet again in the NFC Championship.
Cincinnati will be returning from their bye week and hoping to build on a strong first half. Last time out the Bengals won 37-34 at home against the Bucs. It was a near epic meltdown for Cincinnati who led 27-9 at the half and 34-16 going into the 4th, yet needed a field goal on the final play of regulation to avoid overtime.
NFL Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Bengals +6
My early lean here would have to be on the Bengals as a near touchdown underdog at home. Not only has New Orleans won 8 straight, but they have covered 6 straight games. After just beating the Rams by double-digits, the betting public won’t hesitate to back them against the Bengals.
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While Cincinnati has a very respectable record at 5-3, this is not a team that gets a lot of love from the public no matter how well they are playing. Public certainly isn’t going to want anything to do with them after watching them fail to cover each of their last 3 games.
This is a really bad spot for the Saints, who I think could be in for a major letdown after their recent slate of games. It started with this team getting up for that Monday Night game against Washington, where Brees passed Peyton Manning to become the all-time leading passer in NFL history. Then came the 10-point 4th quarter rally at Baltimore where they won on a missed extra point by Justin Tucker. After that they went on the road and got revenge on the Vikings from last year’s fluke playoff loss and finally the huge tie-breaker game against the Rams for that No. 1 seed in the NFC.
While New Orleans is likely running on fumes, the Bengals are sitting there chomping at the bit off of their bye week. Cincinnati is also not an easy place for opposing teams to go and get a win. Bengals are 3-1 at home and the lone loss was that game against the Steelers, where they went down and scored to take a 21-20 lead with 1:18 to play, only to let Pittsburgh go right down the field and score (added 2-point conversion).
History also says now is a good time to backup of the Saints, as they are a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 when they go into a game having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. New Orleans has also had a poor history against the AFC North, going just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 against that division.
Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 30 or more points. Give me Cincinnati +6!