The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) travel to Louisiana this weekend for an NFC South duel with the New Orleans Saints (3-1). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on October 6th at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Saints listed as 5.5-point home favorites. That line has shifted by over two full points after early betting, as New Orleans is currently available at -3. The total for this matchup is 47 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 5 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Saints vs Bucs Game Odds & Betting Preview
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs got back to .500 overall last weekend after a thrilling 55-40 road victory over the Rams in Los Angeles. Tampa Bay exploded for 28 points in the first half alone and managed to hang on over the final two quarters despite giving up three touchdowns in the final 15 minutes of the game. QB Jameis Winston was fantastic, going 28/41 for 385 yards and four touchdowns. Ronald Jones II and Peyton Barber both found the end zone on the ground while Chris Godwin torched the Los Angeles secondary for 172 yards and two touchdowns on 12 receptions. Mike Evans also got in on the act, making four catches for 89 yards and a score. As a whole, the Buccaneers racked up almost 500 total yards of offense and scored six touchdowns against a shell-shocked Rams defense.
Tampa Bay wasn’t nearly as impressive on the defensive side of the ball in Week 4, giving up almost 550 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. However, the Bucs did force several key turnovers including picking off three of Jared Goff’s 68 passing attempts.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints improved to 3-1 on the season overall in Week 4, narrowly edging out Dallas 12-10 at home in what turned out to be a defensive battle. New Orleans led 9-3 at the half and only need another field goal to lock up the victory, as the Cowboys offense couldn’t find a way to come through down the stretch. QB Teddy Bridgewater was 23/30 for 193 passing yards while RB Alvin Kamara averaged 4.1 yards per carry on the ground against a tough Dallas defense. Michael Thomas had a decent outing despite failing to find the end zone, hauling in nine receptions for 95 yards. Overall, the Saints generated just over 300 total yards of offense but failed to score a touchdown despite coming out on top.
New Orleans was fantastic on the defensive side of the ball in Week 4, giving up just over 250 total yards of offense and a single touchdown. The Saints really did a great job defending against the pass in particular, holding Cowboys QB Dak Prescott to 223 yards through the air and recording one interception.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: UNDER 47
I’m leaning towards staying away from both teams against the spread in this particular matchup, as the New Orleans offense has obviously taken a bit of a hit with Drew Brees on the shelf while Tampa Bay seems to alternating back and forth between good and bad performances. Much like their meeting with Dallas in Week 4, I’m not so sure that the Saints will want to get involved in a shootout with Bridgewater under center. New Orleans played extremely well on defense last weekend, which makes me somewhat skeptical about a repeat explosion from the Bucs offense on the road here in Week 5.
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I really do think that this game could go either way, as Jameis Winston appears to be turning a corner in his development while the Tampa Bay defense has been surprisingly strong against the run. With Brees on the sideline and the Saints defense giving up an average of less than 25 points per game, I think the UNDER on 47 is actually the optimal in this particular spot in a matchup where both teams could easily score under 24 points each. In fact, the UNDER has hit in seven out of the Buccaneers last ten games and nine out of New Orleans last 13 outings as well. I’m going to avoid guessing against what looks to be a pretty efficient spread and take the UNDER on 47 total points in what should be an entertaining NFC South battle.