The New Orleans Saints (2-1) are set to host the Dallas Cowboys (3-0) on Sunday Night Football in Week 4 NFL action. Kickoff is set for 8:20 EST at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome and will be televised nationally on NBC.
Oddsmakers opened this game up at Dallas -3 but it’s dropped down to the Cowboys -2.5 at just about every book. The total opened at 45.5 and has jumped up to 47 across the board.
Click on the link for a full look at the Week 4 NFL betting odds and for more links to our game previews.
Game Odds & Vegas Betting Preview: Saints vs Cowboys
There were probably a lot of people scratching their heads when they saw the Cowboys only leading the Dolphins 10-6 at the half last week. Dallas not only woke up in the 2nd half, they went on to win 31-6 and cover as a 22.5-point favorite.
You can say what you want about the easy schedule the Cowboys have had to start out the season, the bottom line is they are 3-0 and have won all 3 by double-digits.
Dallas has really looked good on the offensive side of the ball. The Cowboys rank 3rd in rushing (179 ypg) and 7th in passing (306.7 ypg). That has them No.3 overall at 481.3 ypg.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints come into this one off a surprising 33-27 win at Seattle in their first game without future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees. It wasn’t as close as the final score would indicate. New Orleans led 27-7 at the end of the 3rd quarter and had a 33-14 lead with less than 5 minutes to play in the 4th quarter.
Teddy Bridgewater didn’t put up Brees like numbers, but did throw for two touchdowns. The real star offensively was running back Alvin Kamara, who had 69 yards and a touchdown on the ground, while also catching a team high 9 passes for 92 yards and a score.
These two teams played in Week 13 last year in a surprisingly low-scoring game. Dallas won 13-10 and in the process held Drew Brees and the Saints to a mere 176 total yards. Cowboys easily covered in that one as a 7.5-point dog.
NFL Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Cowboys -2.5
My early lean here would be play the Cowboys here at less than a field goal favorite at New Orleans. I know this is a prime time game and the Superdome is going to be wild, but I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with Dallas.
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I get the Saints rolled last week at Seattle, but the Seahawks don’t look right. I get a lot of the yards Seattle racked up came late with the game out of reach, but you can’t ignore the fact that the Seahawks outgained New Orleans 515 to 265.
What really decided that game was the fact that the Saints scored 2 non-offensive touchdowns. They got a 53-yard punt return for a TD in the 1st quarter and a 33-yard fumble return in the 2nd quarter. Teddy Bridgewater threw 2 touchdowns, but was just 19 of 27 for 177 yards.
Keep in mind the offense was also awful after Brees went down in Week 2 against the Rams. New Orleans could only muster 3 field goals with Bridgewater running the show and he was just 17 of 30 for 165 yards. I don’t know how you can trust this offense at basically a pick’em against one of the better teams in the league.
On top of that, the Saints defense has not been good. New Orleans ranks 26th in the league against the run (134.7 ypg) and are 31st against the pass (319.0 ypg). Dallas has the 3rd ranked offense in the league right now, ranking 3rd in rushing (179 ypg) and 7th in passing (306.7 ypg).
You also have to factor in that these are two teams that a lot of people think will be a factor in the NFC playoffs. Given the chance that this game could potentially decide who gets a first round bye or home field in a playoff matchup, I just don’t see the Cowboys losing here. Give me Dallas -2.5!