The Philadelphia Eagles (9-7) travel to Louisiana this weekend to face the New Orleans Saints (13-3) in Sunday’s Divisional Round finale. Kickoff is set for 4:35 EST at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome and will be televised nationally on FOX.
Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as a 8-point home favorite with the total set for 51.5 points.
Saints vs Eagles Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds
Philadelphia shocked the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field last weekend, defeating the NFC North Champions 16-15 after K Cody Parkey missed a 43-yard field goal attempt on the final play of the game. It was yet another chapter in the ever growing legend of QB Nick Foles, who has still yet to lose a playoff game over the past two seasons after leading the Eagles to Super Bowl glory during the 2017-18 season. Foles was solid yet again last Sunday, passing for 266 yards and two touchdowns. However, he did also throw two interceptions, which is something that needs to be addressed immediately if Philadelphia hopes to run the table again this year. WR Golden Tate finally had a decent outing, catching five passes for 46 yards and a touchdown. Alshon Jeffery also had a good game, racking up six receptions for 82 yards. The RB duo of Wendell Smallwood and Darren Sproles split work out of the backfield but couldn’t really get anything going, combining for just 41 yards on 21 carries. Overall, the offense averaged 22.9 points per game during the regular season (18th overall).
The Eagles have been above average defensively for much of the year, limiting opponents to 21.8 points per game (12th overall). They were equally tough against both the pass and the run, ranking 9th overall league-wide in both categories.
New Orleans cruised to another NFC South Title during the regular season, going 13-3 and locking up the division pretty early on after both the Falcons and Panthers went a disappointing 7-9 overall. The Saints were electric on offense out of the gate but did slow down a little bit during the second half of the schedule after dismantling the Eagles 48-7 in mid-November. QB Drew Brees was an early season favorite to win the MVP before struggling down the stretch, throwing for 3,995 yards and 32 touchdowns in 15 games. The duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara was electric out of the backfield, while WR Michael Thomas was a beast through the air. Thomas led the NFL with 125 receptions and racked up 1,405 yards and 9 touchdowns. The offense will also get a boost with the return of WR Ted Ginn Jr. after he missed over 75% of the season due to a knee injury. As a whole, New Orleans averaged a very impressive 31.5 points per game during the regular season (3rd overall).
The Saints were fantastic down the stretch on the other side of the ball after a rocky start, giving up an average of 22.1 points per game to opponents (12th overall). They were certainly quite strong against the run, surrendering only 80.2 yards per game on the ground (2nd overall).
NFL Free Betting Prediction & Pick Against the Spread: Eagles +8
I watched every snap of the previous meeting between these two teams in November, and it certainly wasn’t pretty for Philadelphia. However, this really has been a much different Eagles team since that loss, as they won five out of their next six games to sneak into the playoffs. They also really showed me a lot on the road in Chicago last weekend, as the Bears were a big favorite in a game that nobody really expected the Eagles to win. Yes, they were a little bit lucky that Parkey cracked under the pressure during his potential game-winning kick, but still – laying over a touchdown in this particular spot seems a little bit rich to me. The New Orleans offense definitely hit a few speed bumps down the stretch, including scoring less than 14 points against both Dallas and Carolina. I’m not suggesting that the Saints will lose at home in this matchup, but I do think the defending Super Bowl champs should put up a pretty good fight.
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The Eagles are a very impressive 4-1-1 ATS over their last six games. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. New Orleans is only 1-4 ATS over their last five games overall. However, they have fared quite well at the Superdome as of late, posting a solid 4-2 record ATS.
Nobody is giving Philadelphia much of a chance yet again this weekend, and I think that has opened up some value with the underdog. While Brees and Co. may ultimately prevail at home on Sunday afternoon and move on to the NFC Championship Game, I think that the Eagles won’t go down easily. I’m going to take a stab with Philly and the free points in what should be an entertaining rematch of their previous meeting.