This Sunday the New York Giants (1-2) will host the New Orleans (2-1). Kickoff is set for 4:25 EST at MetLife Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 4 NFL odds, the books opened this game up with the Saints as a 3.5-point road favorite. That number did dip down to 3, but is back up to 3.5 at most books. The total for this matchup is currently 50.5 points.
Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds: Saints vs Giants
New Orleans comes into this one off a thrilling 43-37 OT win and cover on the road against the Falcons as a 1.5-point dog. The Saints rallied from behind twice in the 4th quarter and put the game away with a 15-play 80-yard drive to start overtime. Drew Brees had himself a day, completing 39 of 49 attempts for 396 yards and 3 scores.
The Giants also enter off a win. New York avoided an 0-3 start with a 27-22 win on the road against the Texans as a 6.5-point underdog. The Giants took complete control of the game early, as they jumped out to a 20-3 lead. Houston did make it a little to close for comfort, but note the Texans added a garbage TD on the final play of regulation.
New York won the most recent meeting 16-13 as a 3.5-point home favorite back in 2016. The home team has won 5 straight and 9 of 10 in the series.
Free NFL Betting Pick & Game Predictions: Giants +3.5
I would have to lean towards grabbing the points with the Giants at home. I just feel the Saints are way overvalued here. New Orleans is lucky to not be 0-3 right now. They lost as a double-digit home favorite in Week 1 to the Bucs, were extremely fortunate to beat the Browns at home in Week 2 and had to score in the final minutes of regulation to force overtime at Atlanta.
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The thing is, New Orleans was super-hyped coming into the season and while they are lucky to be sitting at 2-1, the public won’t be able to help themselves with the Saints laying such a short number against a Giants team that hasn’t looked great.
I just don’t know how you trust this Saints team on the road in this spot. This feels like a must-win game for the Giants and the fact that they are a home dog will only add more fuel to the fire. As for New Orleans, I think that game against the Falcons took a lot out of this team. We just saw Minnesota and Green Bay struggle to play well after their overtime affair and I think it will be a similar struggle for the Saints.
A lackluster offensive showing in Weeks 1-2 really hurt the Giants, but they got on track this past Sunday against the Texans. Eli Manning played his best game of the year, completing 25 of 29 for 297 yards and 2 touchdowns. Rookie running back Saquan Barkley also had a big impact, rushing for 82 yards and a score, plus had 5 catches for 35 yards.
I think they build on that performance against a struggling Saints defense. New Orleans is 30th in the NFL against the pass, giving up 336.7 ypg. The only reason they aren’t last, is because they got to play the Browns while Tyrod Taylor was still their quarterback. Taylor couldn’t complete a 5-yard pass agains the Jets, yet he went 22 of 30 for 246 yards and a touchdown against the Saints.
The Giants defense is unlikely to keep Brees and the Saints offense from scoring, but New Orleans typically isn’t as efficient offensively on the road, especially when the game is played outdoors. I think the Giants will be able to get off the field enough to not only keep this game close enough to cover, but to win it outright. Take New York +3.5.