The New Orleans Saints (0-1) are set to host the New England Patriots (0-1) in a matchup of two teams trying to avoid the dreaded 0-2 start. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome and will be televised locally on CBS.
Taking a look at the Week 2 betting odds, the Patriots are currently a 6.5-point road favorite with the total at 56 points. This line has moved quite a bit, as it originally opened at New England -4. The total has also jumped a couple points from 54.
Patriots vs Saints Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds
New England was on the wrong end of the biggest upset in Week 1. The Patriots lost at home to the Chiefs 27-42 as a 8-point favorite. The game flew over the total of 47.5. Injuries really crippled a promising start for New England, as they led 17-7 with less than a minute to play in the 1st half.
New Orleans had no answer for the Vikings in a 19-29 road loss on Monday Night Football. The Saints were a 3-point dog in the fight. The offenses inability to convert in the red zone is what cost them. New Orleans had to settle for 4 field goals, 3 of which were shorter than 25 yards.
The last time these two teams met up was back in 2013 in New England. The Patriots won 30-27 on a 17-yard TD pass from Tom Brady in the final 10 seconds. Last time these two teams played in New Orleans was 2009, which the Saints won in a blowout 38-17 on Monday Night Football. It’s also worth noting that was the year New Orleans started out 13-0 and went on to win the Super Bowl.
Free NFL Betting Predictions Against the Spread & Total: Patriots -6.5
As much as I don’t like betting against Payton and Brees at home, I got that much more respect for Brady and Belichick off an embarrassing loss. Few teams in the league answer a defeat like the Patriots since Belichick came to town. New England is 40-18-1 ATS in their last 59 following a loss the previous time out. They are 9-2 in their last 11 off a loss by more than 14 points and 23-8 in their last 31 after giving up more than 30 points. Not to mention they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
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I know that Brady has already lost wide outs Julian Edelman and Malcolm Mitchell and might not have the services of Danny Amendola for this game. There’s still a ton of weapons for Brady to work with and it’s not like the Saints defense was anything special in Week 1. New Orleans got picked apart by Sam Bradford and let rookie Dalvin Cook rush for 127 yards. New England is going to be able to move the ball here.
There’s also concerns with the defense missing a key cog in linebacker Dont’a Hightower. Any other team I think would be screwed given the circumstances. Not Belichick. He’s going to figure out some game plan to give his defense a shot here. Let’s also not forget that due to playing on Thursday, the Patriots have had a few extra days to prepare. Note that while they get extra time, the Saints have less than the normal days off after playing on the road Monday. Another situation where you just aren’t wise going against the Patriots.
Another thing worth noting is it’s not like the Patriots got beat up by a bad team. The Chiefs are a legit threat in the AFC, especially if Alex Smith keeps throwing it down field and keeping defenses honest. Note that Kansas City is one of the few teams to play New England tough since Andy Reid came over from Philadelphia. Some of you might recall the 41-14 beatdown the Chiefs put on the Pats back in 2014 on MNF.
Not to say the Saints aren’t a good team, but I wouldn’t put them on KC’s level. You also have to take into consideration New England may of had a big head going into that game against the Chiefs. They were the overwhelming favorite to win it all and people were talking about them going 16-0. This team will be 100% locked in for this game and I could see them winning here by double-digits.