This Sunday the Los Angeles Rams (7-3) will host the New Orleans Saints (8-2) in arguably the best matchup of Week 12. Kickoff is set for 4:25 EST at the LA Memorial Coliseum and will be televised locally on CBS.

Oddsmakers currently have Los Angeles listed as a 2.5-point home favorite with the total set at 53.5 points. Click here for a full betting schedule for Week 12, plus more links to our game previews.

Saints vs Rams Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview

New Orleans kept it’s winning streak going in dramatic fashion, as the Saints erased a 15-point deficit in the final 3 minutes of regulation to force overtime and beat the Redskins 34-31. However, New Orleans did fail to cover the spread, as they closed as a 9.5-point favorite. The Saints had won and covered each of their previous 7 games, making them 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 overall.

Los Angeles saw their 4-game winning streak snapped in a 7-24 loss at Minnesota as a 2.5-point underdog. The Rams scored on their first possession to take a 7-0 lead, but were shutout the rest of the way and managed just 254 yards on the game. LA is still a respectable 4-1 ATS in their last 5.

NFL Betting Predictions and Free ATS Pick: Rams -2.5

I just think there’s too much value here with the Rams laying less than a field goal at home against the Saints. New Orleans is getting way too much respect here on the road against one of the best teams in the NFL. A lot of that has to do with the fact that the Saints have won 8 straight and own a 7-1 ATS record during this stretch. At the same time, the public was just burned by the Rams in last week’s ugly loss to the Vikings.

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I wasn’t the least bit surprised to see LA struggle on the road against the Vikings. Minnesota is one of the best teams in the NFL that no one is talking about and have a much bigger home field advantage than they get credit for. In fact, I was on the Vikings in that game. Now it’s the Rams who are almost in an identical spot here against the Saints.

Not to take anything away from New Orleans and their 8-game winning streak, but a big reason they have won 8 in a row is the schedule has set up perfectly. Only two of the six wins have come against a team that currently has a winning record. One of those was at Carolina, but that was back when Cam Newton was still shaking off the rust from his shoulder surgery. The other was at home against the Lions, who I don’t feel are anywhere close to as good as their 6-4 record would suggest. In my opinion, the Rams are the best team the Saints will have played since they lost at home to the Patriots way back in Week 2.

One of the reasons that New Orleans has been playing so well is they are vastly improved on the defensive side of the ball. Unfortunately for them, they suffered a big loss in the win over the Redskins, as defensive end Alex Okafor was lost for the season with an Achilles injury. They also lost star rookie corner Marshon Lattimore to an ankle injury and it’s looking unlikely that he will be able to play. Those are two key pieces to their success on that side of the ball and I believe it will be too much to overcome here against a potent Rams offense that is 2nd in the NFL at 30.3 ppg.

I also think we see the Saints offense struggle to get going in this one. After struggling to adjust early on to new schemes under new defensive coordinator Wade Phillips, the Rams have been playing at an elite level on the defensive side of the ball. Over their last 6 games they are giving up just 13.5 ppg and this is hands down the best defense that New Orleans has faced since their Week 1 loss to Minnesota, where they scored just 19 points.

Lastly, the Saints are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 when they come in having covered at least 7 of their last 8 and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring 25 or more points in 3 straight games. Give me the Rams -2.5!