The San Diego State Aztecs (3-0) host the Utah State Aggies (1-1) this weekend in Southern California. Kickoff is set for 10:30 PM EST on Saturday, September 21st at SDCCU Stadium and the game will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
Taking a look at the Week 4 college football odds, San Diego State opened as a 3-point home underdog earlier this week. That line has shifted substantially after early betting, as the Aztecs are currently listed at +6. The total for the game is sitting at 54.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: San Diego State vs Utah State
Utah State got back to .500 overall on the season their last time out back in Week 2, crushing Stony Brook 62-7 at home. The Aggies offense really poured it on right out of the gate, scoring 34 unanswered points in the first half to put the game out of reach early. QB Jordan Love was 25/34 for 294 yards and a touchdown while backup Henry Colombi went 8/9 for 93 yards and two more scores. Jaylen Warren and Andrew Peasley both had monster performances on the ground, combining for 188 rushing yards and three trips to the end zone. Deven Thompkins and Siaosi Mariner also both scored touchdowns while combining for 147 receiving yards on ten receptions. As a whole, Utah State racked up more than 650 yards of total offense and scored seven touchdowns against a bad Seawolves defense.
The Aggies defense didn’t have to do all that much against Stony Brook, as the Seawolves generated just over 200 total yards of offense and scored only one touchdown. Utah State was especially good on the ground, holding RB Seba Nekhet to 46 rushing yards on 14 touches – an average of only 3.3 yards per carry.
San Diego State stayed perfect through the first three weeks of the regular season last weekend, beating New Mexico State 31-10 on the road to move to 3-0 overall. The Aztecs scored 17 unanswered points in the first half before shutting down the Aggies down the stretch to secure the victory. QB Ryan Agnew was average at best, going 17/26 for just 116 passing yards and one touchdown while also throwing a costly interception. RB Jordan Byrd led the way on the ground, torching the New Mexico State defense for 118 yards and two touchdowns on a team-high 22 carries. None of the San Diego State receivers had a noteworthy performance, as Elijah Kothe gained the most yards through the air by catching four passes for just 34 yards.
The Aztecs defense was extremely solid yet again in Week 3, holding the New Mexico State offense to just 10 points on just over 325 total yards. San Diego State did have a bit of a tough time defending against the pass, allowing Aggies QB Josh Adkins to throw for 299 yards and a touchdown. However, they did also record two interceptions and surrender less than 40 rushing yards.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: San Diego State +6
While I likely would have avoided this matchup when the San Diego State opened at just +3, this line has now moved enough to where I think there is a tiny bit of value on the Aztecs side. Utah State couldn’t beat Wake Forest in Week 1 before trouncing Stony Brook in Week 2. It’s certainly hard to get overly excited about a lopsided victory over the Seawolves, as San Diego State is clearly a much better team on both sides of the ball. Not only did they beat UCLA several weeks ago, they have also given up just 24 points over their last three games combined – an average of only eight points against per game. Even if the Aggies can find a way to win on the road here in Week 4 – which is far from a guarantee – I still like the Aztecs to stay within a couple of field goals.
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Utah State has performed quite well against the spread as of late, going 12-3 ATS over their last fifteen games overall. Still, I’m not sold on their defense at all after they allowed the Demon Deacons to throw for more than 400 yards though the air and score five total touchdowns back in Week 1. While the Aztecs hardly are an offensive powerhouse, they should be able to put enough points on the scoreboard to stay within striking distance. I’ll take the six points and roll with the home underdog on Saturday night – give me the Aztecs to cover!