Not every Thursday Night Football matchup is a dud. We have a great game on tap in Week 5, as the Seattle Seahawks will host the Los Angeles Rams. Kickoff is set for 8:20 EST at CenturyLink Field and will be televised on both FOX and the NFL Network.

Oddsmakers opened the line with the Rams as the small road favorite at -1, but the money has flipped the script. Seattle is now the favorite. Be sure to shop, as they are -1.5 in a few places and -2 in others. The total opened at 49 and has climbed up to 49.5 and even 50 at some spots.

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Rams vs Seahawks Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview

Los Angeles Rams (3-1)

The Rams first loss of 2019 was one of the biggest upsets of Week 4, as LA lost a shootout at home to the Bucs 55-40. Rams were a 9-point favorite in that contest. LA fell behind 21-0 early, trailed 28-17 at the half and 31-20 going into the 4th. They never quit fighting and actually got it to 45-40 midway thru the 4th quarter.

Turnovers played a big part of the loss, as LA had 4 giveaways to the Bucs 1. Rams had a 518 to 464 edge in total yards and put up 36 first downs to Tampa’s 27. While he threw 3 interceptions, it was a bit of a breakout game for Jared Goff, who finished with 517 yards and 2 scores. Goff had only thrown for 737 yards in the first 3 games combined.  The big negative is the 28 yards they posted on the ground (Gurley did have 2 rushing TDs).

Rams are 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS, which is nothing to complain about, but LA as whole just doesn’t look as dominant as they did a year ago. I think we will find out just what this team is made of on a short week against a division rival that is trying to take back their throne in the NFC West.

Seattle Seahawks (3-1)

Seattle enters off an easy 27-10 win at Arizona, easily covering as a 5.5-point favorite. Seattle led 10-0 early and 20-3 going into the 4th quarter. It might seemed like they dominated the game, but they actually only had a 340 to 321 edge in total yards and just 21 first downs to Arizona’s 20.

It was a terrible start to the game for the Cardinals. They put together a solid opening drive, but missed a 43-yard field goal. After Seattle got a field goal on their first possession, two plays into their next drive, Kyler Murray throws a pick-six. Cardinals kicker also missed a 48-yard attempt on their next possession.

Seattle’s an interesting team. Their 3 wins are against the Bengals, Steelers and Cardinals, who are a combined 1-10-1 on the season. The lone loss was at home to the Saints minus Drew Brees.

Matchup History

Rams swept the season series a year ago and have won three straight overall. However, while LA won both meetings in 2018, Seattle covered the spread. Seahawks were a 10-point dog in LA and lost 31-36. They were a 7.5-point dog at home and lost 31-33. Seattle has covered 4 of the last 5 overall.

NFL Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 49.5

My early lean here would be to take the OVER 49.5 in this one. I just don’t know if Seattle is as good as we think and I’m not about to take LA in a pick’em on the road with 3 days of rest. I just think given how defenses have struggled to perform in these Thursday games, I just feel that’s where the value is.

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Clearly there are some holes in the Rams defense, especially against the pass. Jameis Winston completed 28 of 41 for 385 yards and 4 scores last week. They let Chris Godwin haul in 12 catches for 172 yards and 2 scores. Russell Wilson only threw for 240 last week, but that’s because they were ahead big early. He had 406 the previous week against the Saints and 300 the week before at Pittsburgh. I think he’s going to have a big day throwing the ball.

As for the Rams offense, I really think that outburst by them was a big positive in the loss. That was the first time all year they looked anything like the offense from 2018. Seattle’s defense has been decent, but they have also faced Andy Dalton, Mason Rudolph, Teddy Bridgewater and Kyler Murray.

You also have to take into account the recent meetings between these two have all been high-scoring. Both meetings last year saw at least 64 combined points.

Over is 10-3 in Seahawks last 13 games overall, including 8-2 in their last 10 at home vs a team with a winning road record. OVER 7-3 in the Rams last 10 after giving up 30 or more points and 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 30 or more. Give me the OVER 49.5!