This Sunday the Tennessee Titans (1-1) will host the Seattle Seahawks (1-1). Kickoff for this non-conference matchup is set for 4:05 EST at Nissan Stadium in Nashville and will be televised locally on FOX.
Oddsmakers currently have Tennessee listed as a slim 2.5-point home favorite with a total set at 42.5 points. Click here for a complete Week 4 betting schedule and links to game previews.
Seahawks vs Titans Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds
Seattle needed a late TD to escape with a 12-9 win over division rival San Francisco, avoiding the dreaded 0-2 start. It wasn’t suppose to be that close, as the Seahawks went off as a 13.5-point favorite. Seattle also failed to cover in a 9-17 loss at Green Bay in Week 1 as a 2.5-point dog.
Tennessee also secured their first win of the season in Week 2. The Titans turned a 6-3 lead at Jacksonville into a comfortable 37-16 victory, which had them easily cover the spread as a mere 1-point favorite. The Titans lost 16-26 at home to the Raiders as a 3-point favorite in Week 1.
These two teams last played in 2013, which Seattle won 20-13 at home as a 11.5-point favorite. Hard to read into that matchup, as Ryan Fitzpatrick was the starting QB for Tennessee.
NFL Free Pick & Betting Predictions: UNDER 42.5
I really don’t see a ton of value in the spread in this one. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if either of these teams came out on top. The good news is, I do see value in the total and this one staying under the mark of 42.
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Seattle’s defense has the same feel as the one that routinely finished near the top of the league in defensive metrics. In Week 1 they kept Aaron Rogers and the Packers offense off the scoreboard until the final second of the 3rd quarter. Last week they allowed a mere 3 field goals and 248 yards to the 49ers, basically winning them the game.
While the defense has been playing lights out, the offense has been hard to watch. Seattle could only muster 225 yards against Green Bay in Week 1, a number that looks a lot worse after watching Matt Ryan and the Falcons pick apart the Packer defense in Week 2. Like we see with a lot of the teams struggling offensively early on in 2017, the offensive line is the main culprit for the struggles. Seattle has put very little resources into their offensive line and lost their starting left tackle before the season ever started.
They do seem to eventually figure it out up front, but I don’t see it happening this week against a stingy Titans defense that is very strong up front. Last year Tennessee was 2nd in the NFL agains the run, allowing just 88.3 ypg. They upgraded the secondary in the offseason and should post better numbers overall.
Another thing I like here is that Seattle’s Russell Wilson and Tennessee’s Marcus Mariota are two very similar quarterbacks. Both rely a lot on their mobility to extend plays. That’s not easy to prepare for, but it should be for these two teams, given they go against their own mobile quarterback in practice. I just don’t see either team reaching 20 points, unless we have a bunch of non-offensive touchdowns. I’ll take my chances on that not being the case.
Note the UNDER is 9-1 in the Seahawks 10 road games under Pete Carroll, where they come in having scored 17 points or less in 2 straight games. The average final score in these games was a mere 32.5 and half points, giving us a full 10-points of value here.