This Sunday the Cincinnati Bengals (4-1) will host the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2-1) in a critical AFC North matchup. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Paul Brown Stadium and will televised locally on CBS.

Oddsmakers currently have Cincinnati listed as a slim 2.5-point home favorite with the total sitting at 52.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 6 NFL betting schedule and for more links to our game previews.

Steelers vs Bengals Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds

Pittsburgh comes into this one off a 41-17 blowout win at home over the Falcons as a 3-point favorite. Atlanta kept it close early, trailing just 13-10 at the half, but the Steelers outscored the Falcons 28-7 in the final 2 quarters to get a much-needed win. Big difference from going into Week 6 at 2-2-1 and not 1-3-1.

Cincinnati railed from an early 17-0 deficit to stun the Dolphins 27-17 and cover as a 6-point home favorite. The Bengals exploded for 24 points in the 4th quarter, thanks in large part to two defensive touchdowns. It was the third time this season Cincinnati won despite trailing in the 4th quarter and second time they won a game after trailing by double-digits in the 2nd half.

Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: Bengals -2.5

I would have to lean towards laying the short number here at home with the Bengals. I just feel there’s a ton of value with a home team as talented as Cincinnati laying less than a field goal in division game.

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The reason we are getting such great value is the Steelers are a big time public play and the public will quick to back them off that 24-point win against the Falcons. Plus, the Bengals just aren’t a team that public is drawn to, no matter what their record is.

I want to point out that I absolutely loved the Steelers at home last week against Atlanta (was my strongest play). I just loved the spot for Pittsburgh, playing at home off that ugly home loss to the Ravens. Not to mention they were catching an Atlanta team that has been decimated with injuries on the defensive side of the ball and were coming off that devastating loss at home to the Bengals.

It’s also worth pointing out that while the final score was lopsided, the Steelers only had a 381 to 324 edge in total yards and both teams ended the game with 22 first downs. I just don’t trust this team on the road. It’s no secret that Big Ben isn’t the same quarterback on the road as he is at home. The Steelers are still without one of the best backs in the league in LeVeon Bell and there just seems to be a ton of drama both inside and outside the locke room. This week it’s Antonio Brown making headlines for two lawsuits filed against him.

I know the numbers aren’t great for the Bengals defense, but I like the young talent they got on that side of the ball and let’s not overlook they played the first 4 without one of the top linebackers in the league in Vontaze Burfict. They also seem to keep making the big play when it matters the most. Not to mention the energy they will get in front of what should be an electric home crowd.

This also isn’t just another game for these two teams. There’s quite the rivalry between the two and I have to think this is one contest the Bengals have been itching to play. Cincinnati has lost each of the last 6 meetings. They know that in order to win the AFC North, they have to take care of business against this team and I just think for the first time in a few years, they are the more talented team on the field. Give me the Bengals -2.5