The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) host the Miami Dolphins (0-6) in Week 8 for an all-AFC clash on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:15 PM EST on October 28th at Heinz Field and the game will be nationally televised on ESPN.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Steelers listed as 14.5-point home favorites. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as Pittsburgh is currently available at -14.5. The total for this matchup is 42.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 8 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Steelers vs Dolphins Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Dolphins are still in search of their first win of the season after falling 31-21 on the road in Buffalo last weekend to drop to 0-6 overall. Miami held a 14-9 lead at the end of the third quarter but completely collapsed down the stretch, giving up 22 points over the final 15 minutes en route to a double-digit loss. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick looked a little bit better after watching from the sidelines for several weeks, going 23/35 for 282 yards and a touchdown against a tough Bills secondary. RB Mark Walton led the way on the ground, rushing for 66 yards on 14 carries. The receiving duo of Preston Williams and DeVante Parker also chipped in, combining for 137 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, the Dolphins offense generated almost 400 total yards and found the end zone three times despite coming up short on the scoreboard.
Miami didn’t play well defensively against the Buffalo, giving up well over 300 total yards of offense and two touchdowns. The Dolphins really struggled to slow down Bills WR John Brown, as he racked up 83 receiving yards and a touchdown on five catches.
The Steelers have now won two out of their last three games to improve to 2-4 on the season after a tough 24-17 road win over the Los Angeles Chargers their last time out. Pittsburgh jumped out to a 14-0 lead early in the first half and managed to hold on for the win despite giving up 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter. QB Devlin Hodges went 15/20 for 132 yards and a touchdown but also got picked off once in his first start for the injured Mason Rudolph. Benny Snell Jr. and James Conner were solid on the ground, rushing for a combined 116 yards and one touchdown. Conner also led the way for the receiving corps, finding the end zone on one of his seven catches for 78 yards. Overall, the Steelers gained over 250 total yards and scored two offensive touchdowns in the hard-fought win.
Pittsburgh had a pretty decent outing on the other side of the ball in Week 6, giving up just over 350 total yards of offense and only two touchdowns. The Steelers were especially strong defending against the run, holding Los Angeles to only 32 rushing yards on the ground.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: Dolphins +14.5
Even though the Dolphins have been brutal so far this season, I just don’t see how I can lay over two touchdowns in this particular spot. Pittsburgh was forced to start their third string quarterback in Week 6 after losing both Ben Roethlisberger and Mason Rudolph to injury. While Rudolph has been cleared to return to action after resting up over the bye week, there is no way I’m comfortable leaving over 14 points on the board in what could be a slow-paced AFC matchup. It isn’t exactly like he was lighting the world on fire prior to his concussion either, as the Steelers offense has yet to score more than 27 points in a single game so far this season. Miami also looked much better on the road last weekend, as they easily could have beaten Buffalo outright if they had found a way to bear down a little bit in the fourth quarter.
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It is also important to note that the Dolphins have actually performed pretty well against the spread against Pittsburgh as of late, covering the number in two out of their last three meetings. Miami is also a respectable 4-2 against the spread over their past six games against the Steelers overall. On the other side, Pittsburgh is only 4-8 outright in their last 12 games overall. While I still think that the Dolphins will likely drop to 0-8 on Monday night, I’ll happily take the boatload of points and roll with the massive road underdog. Give me Miami to cover!