The TCU Horned Frogs (3-3) host the #15 overall Texas Longhorns (5-2) this weekend for a BIG 12 showdown from Fort Worth. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on October 26th at Amon G. Carter Stadium and the game will be nationally televised on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 9 college football odds, Texas opened as a 1-point road favorite earlier this week. That spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Longhorns are currently listed at -1. The total for the game is sitting at 57 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: TCU vs Texas
Texas has now won four out of their last five games after winning a 50-48 thriller at home over Kansas last weekend to move to 5-2 on the season overall. The game was tied 24-24 heading into the fourth quarter before a crazy final 15 minutes of action saw the Longhorns outscore the Jayhawks 26-24 to come away with the victory. QB Sam Ehlinger was fantastic, going 31/44 for 399 yards and four touchdowns through the air while also adding 91 rushing yards on the ground. RB Keaontay Ingram also played well, racking up 101 rushing yards and a touchdown on 14 carries. As a whole, the Texas offense generated well over 600 total yards and scored six touchdowns against a shell-shocked Kansas defense.
The Longhorns had a very poor outing on the other side of the ball against Kansas, getting torched for almost 600 total yards of offense and six touchdowns. Texas really struggled to contain Jayhawks RB Pooka Williams Jr. on the ground, as he rumbled for 190 rushing yards and two touchdowns while also adding four receptions for 25 yards.
TCU lost their second straight game last weekend, falling 24-17 on the road against Kansas State to drop back to 3-3 on the season overall. The Horned Frogs gave up seven unanswered points in the first quarter but battled back over the next 30 minutes of the game, tying the game at 17-17 in the third quarter. However, the Wildcats added another touchdown down the stretch to close out Texas Christian University for good. QB Max Duggan went just 16/29 for 132 yards through the air but had a great game on the ground, rushing for 115 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries. Jalen Reagor led the way for the receiving corps, hauling in eight catches for 85 yards. Overall, TCU gained well over 350 total yards of offense and scored two touchdowns despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
The Horned Frogs were fairly average defensively against Kansas State, giving up almost 300 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. TCU didn’t really have an answer for Wildcats QB Skylar Thompson, as he threw for 172 yards and two touchdowns while also adding 68 rushing yards and a score on the ground.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Texas -1
This all-Texas showdown should be a highly entertaining matchup on Saturday afternoon, as both of these teams certainly have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. However, I think the Longhorns currently offer a ton of value in this particular spot despite having to play on the road. Texas has now won four straight games and is really firing on all cylinders offensively, scoring at least 35 points in six out of their seven outings so far this season. While their defense is certainly quite suspect, they might be able to finally find some success against a TCU offense that is averaging just over 20 points over their last two games overall.
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The Horned Frogs have also really struggled against the spread as of late, going just 5-11 ATS over their last 16 games overall. TCU is also only 2-8 against the spread in their last ten home games as well. On the other side, Texas is a respectable 4-3 ATS so far this season – including a perfect 3-0 record against the spread away from Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. I[ll lay the single point and roll with the #15 overall team in the entire country – give me the Longhorns to grind out a tough cover on the road here in Week 9!