This Friday in Week 10 action the Connecticut Huskies will host the Temple Owls. Kickoff is set for 7:00 EST at Rentschler Field and will be televised on ESPN2. Oddsmakers have the Owls as a 10-point favorite with the total set at 46 points.
Temple vs UConn Vegas Point Spread Preview
The Owls (6-3, 4-1 AAC) enter off a convincing 34-13 home win over Cincinnati. Temple covered the number as a 9-point favorite. The Owls have now cashed in on the spread in 8 straight games.
The Huskies (3-6, 1-5 AAC) will try and bounce back from an ugly 3-41 loss at East Carolina. It was Connecticut’s most lopsided loss since losing 14-42 at Houston back in September. It also dropped the Huskies to just 2-7 ATS on the season, as they were only a 7-point dog.
Free Pick & Odds Predictions: Connecticut +10
I think we are getting some great value here with the Huskies catching double-digits at home. I believe we are seeing a big overreaction here by the books. Temple is overvalued after covering the spread in 8 straight. At the same time, Connecticut is undervalued due to their 2-6 ATS record. On top of that they just lost by 38-points last week.
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Not only are we getting a great number, but this is a good situation to back the Huskies. Sitting at 3-wins with 3 games to play, UConn has to win out to be bowl eligible. It’s certainly not out of the question if they can win this game. They have a road game against BC and home game against Tulane to close out the year.
Either way, we can count on the Huskies laying everything on the line in this game. Especially with it being a nationally televised home game on ESPN2.
While this game means everything to Connecticut, Temple is primed for a letdown. The Owls just played two of the top teams in the conference at home in USF and Cincinnati. Now they go on the road against a bad Huskies team they crushed last year 27-3 at home. It’s not as easy as people think getting up for these type of games against opponents you feel have no business being on the same field as you.
I also think this is a good matchup for Connecticut’s defense. The Huskies have really struggled against strong passing teams. They have been much better against teams who like to run the ball. No surprise when you look at the fact that the Huskies are 26th against the run (125.3 ypg) this season.
Temple comes in averaging 41 rush attempts to just 29 pass attempts per game. They are also completing just 56.6% of their pass attempts. What success they do have in the passing game is often a result of their running game. Keep in mind that the Owls are 0-3 this season when they rush for fewer than 100 yards. That includes a 13-28 home loss to Army as a 14-point favorite.
UConn is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7. They are also a dominant 15-4 ATS in their last 19 at home off a conference loss by 10 or more points. To top it off, they are 17-5 ATS at home in Weeks 10 through 13.