The Vanderbilt Commodores (3-8) head to Knoxville this weekend for a SEC East showdown with the Tennessee Volunteers (6-5). Kickoff is set for 4:00 PM EST on November 30th at Neyland Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the SEC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 14 college football odds, Tennessee opened as a 21-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has increased by half a point after early betting, as the Volunteers are currently available at -21.5. The total for the game is sitting at 46 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Tennessee vs Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt snapped a three game losing slide last weekend, crushing East Tennessee State 38-0 at home to improve to 3-8 on the season overall. The Commodores scored 14 unanswered points in the first half and cruised to victory from there, shutting out the Buccaneers offense the entire game. QB Riley Neal went 16/24 for 179 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air while RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn racked up 139 rushing yards and two scores on the ground. Jared Pinkney also had a multi-touchdown performance, finding the end zone twice on two of his five receptions for 76 yards. As a whole, Vanderbilt generated over 400 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns in the blowout win.
The Commodores obviously had a solid outing on the other side of the ball against East Tennessee State, surrendering under 100 total yards of offense and no points. Vanderbilt was especially strong defending against the run, allowing only 38 net rushing yards on the ground.
Tennessee won their fourth game in a row last weekend after slipping by Missouri 24-20 on the road to get back above .500 on the season overall. The Volunteers had a 17-10 lead at the half and managed to hold on for the victory down the stretch despite getting outscored 10-7 over the final two quarters. QB Jarrett Guarantano played pretty well, going 23/40 for 415 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air. RB Tim Jordan led the way on the ground, rushing for 74 yards on a team-high 14 carries. Josh Palmer, Marquez Callaway, and Jauan Jennings ran circles around the Tigers secondary, combining for 349 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Overall, Tennessee gained well over 500 total yards of offense and found the end zone three times.
The Volunteers were pretty average defensively against Missouri, giving up close to 300 total yards of offense and two touchdowns. Tennessee struggled to slow down Tyler Badie, as he was on the receiving end of both touchdowns scored by the Tigers.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: UNDER 46
There really doesn’t appear to be a ton of value with either the spread or total in this SEC East clash, as both numbers currently look pretty spot on to me. While I do think that the Volunteers should win this home game outright with relative ease, I don’t really feel all that great about laying over three full touchdowns in order to take a team that has scored just 41 total points over their last two victories. Tennessee is certainly more than happy to play a tough, defense-first style of game, as they have only given up 61 total points during their current four game winning streak. Vanderbilt isn’t exactly an offensive powerhouse either, scoring 14 points or less in three out of their last four games.
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Therefore, my favorite play in this particular spot is the UNDER on 46 total points scored in a matchup that is pretty likely to turn into a defensive battle. Both schools have certainly had their fair share of low-scoring games so far this season, as the total has gone UNDER in seven out of both Tennessee’s and Vanderbilt’s first eleven games. The UNDER has also come through in nine out of the last 13 meetings between these two SEC East rivals as well. I’m going to avoid both sides against an efficient spread in favor of the UNDER on 46 total points scored.