This Sunday the Philadelphia Eagles (7-7) will host the Houston Texans (10-4) in a game where both teams are fighting for playoff position. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Lincoln Financial Field and will be televised locally on CBS.

Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as a 2.5-point home favorite with the total set for 46.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 16 NFL betting odds and for more links to our game previews.

Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview: Texans vs Eagles

Houston was in action last Saturday against the Jets and while they won the game, it wasn’t the dominant performance a lot of people were expecting given they were the only ones in the fight with something to play for. Houston did push as a 7-point favorite, but were trailing 22-19 with 5 minutes to play in the 4th quarter.

It turned out to be a massive win in terms of the Texans playoff picture. Houston is now 2-games up on both the Colts and Titans in the AFC South and thanks to the Patriots loss are in position to earn the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. Note that given that they lost at New England in Week 1, they need to stay 1-game up on the Pats to get that No. 2 seed (NE hosts the Bills and Jets).

The Eagles pulled off one of the biggest upsets of Week 15, as they went on the road and defeated the LA Rams 30-23 as a 13.5-point underdog. The game was tied 13-13 at the half, but the Eagles took a 30-13 lead going into the 4th quarter. The Rams scored two touchdowns to make it interesting and looked to be getting the ball back with just under 3 minutes to play, but they fumbled the ball on the punt return and just didn’t have enough time on the clock when they got it back.

While the Texans are all but in the playoffs, Philadelphia is going to need some help if they are going to defending their Super Bowl title. The Eagles are just 1-game back of Dallas in the NFC East, but need to win out and have the Cowboys lose their final two to overtake them. That seems unlikely, so it’s pretty much down to the Wild Card, where they are a game back of No. 5 seed Seattle and a half-game back of Minnesota for the No. 6 seed.

Free NFL Betting Pick & Vegas Predictions: Eagles -2.5

My early lean here would be to lay less than a field goal at home with the Eagles. I know Philadelphia has been a major disappointment this year, but for the first time in a long time, we saw this team resemble the team that won it all. The Eagles played inspired last week against the Rams and there’s clearly something about having their backs against the wall and Nick Foles at quarterback that brings out the best in this team.

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I see no reason not to expect more of the same against the Texans, who I’m starting to think might be the biggest fraud of them all. The more you look back over Houston’s schedule, the harder it becomes to trust this team. Their only win against a team that’s currently in line to make the playoffs is a 19-16 overtime win at home against the Cowboys back in Week 5 before Dallas landed Amari Cooper.

Sure the defense is good, but I’m not so sure it’s as good as people think. They certainly haven’t played many top notch quarterbacks and when they have they have struggled. I know Foles isn’t an elite signal caller, but I think this Eagles offense will be able to move the ball on their home field.

My biggest concern with the Texans is they are struggling to consistently run the ball and are having an absolute miserable time trying to protect Deshaun Watson. The Jets sacks Watson 6 times last week and he’s been sacked 52 times on the year. If he’s sacked 8 more times over the next two games, he’ll become the seven NFL quarterback to be sacked at least 60 times in a single season.

This Eagles defensive front is not one you want to face if protecting the quarterback is a problem. Philadelphia only had 2 sacks on Jared Goff, but harassed him all night long. I think Watson is in for a long day and the more desperate team wins here. Give me the Eagles -2.5!