The #20 overall Kansas State Wildcats (6-2) travel to Austin this weekend for a critical BIG 12 battle with the Texas Longhorns (5-3). Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on November 9th at Darrell K Royal – Texas Memorial Stadium and the game will be nationally televised on ESPN.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Texas opened as a 6.5-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has increased by half a point after early betting, as the Longhorns are currently available at -7. The total for the game is sitting at 57.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Texas vs Kansas State
Kansas State continued their hot streak last weekend, rolling over Kansas 38-10 on the road to improve to 6-2 on the season overall. The Wildcats took a 17-3 lead in the first half and never looked back, giving up just a single touchdown over the final two quarters en route to a double-digit victory. QB Skylar Thompson didn’t have to do much through the air, going 9/16 for 129 passing yards. Thompson did most of his damage on the ground, rushing for 127 yards and three touchdowns on 17 carries. Harry Trotter also had success running the football, finding the end zone on one of his team-high 20 carries for 92 rushing yards. Dalton Schoen led the way for the receiving corps, making two catches for 67 yards. Overall, Kansas State generated well over 450 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns in the win.
The Wildcats had a very solid outing on the other side of the ball against Kansas, holding the Jayhawks to just over 250 total yards of offense and surrendering only ten points. Kansas State was especially strong defending against the pass, forcing two interceptions and not giving up a single touchdown through the air.
Texas dropped to 5-3 on the season overall their last time out, falling 37-27 on the road against TCU. The Longhorns had a 17-13 lead at the half but couldn’t hold on down the stretch, getting outscored 24-10 over the final two quarters. QB Sam Ehlinger went 22/48 for 321 passing yards and two touchdowns but also threw a season-high four interceptions as well. RB Keaontay Ingram led the way on the ground with 71 rushing yards on a team-high 16 carries. The dynamic receiving duo of Devin Duvernay and Collin Johnson torched the Horned Frogs secondary for 274 yards and a touchdown on a combined 15 catches. As a whole, Texas gained over 450 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns despite coming up short on the scoreboard.
The Longhorns didn’t have a good outing defensively against Texas Christian, giving up well over 400 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. Texas struggled to contain Horned Frogs QB Max Duggan, as he threw for almost 300 passing yards and two touchdowns while also adding 72 rushing yards and a score on the ground.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 57.5
As much as I think that taking the points and rolling with a scorching hot K-State squad against the spread is a solid play, I think that the best value in this BIG 12 showdown is likely the OVER on 57.5 total points scored. Of course, I am definitely leaning towards the Wildcats to cover the number and possibly even win outright against a Texas team that has failed to cover the number in three out of their last four home games. Kansas State has also been almost automatic against he spread as of late, going 8-2 ATS over their last ten outings. Still, this total simply looks way too low to me considering that the Longhorns have given up 119 total points over just their last three games combined – an average of almost 40 per game.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.
Texas has also been firing on all cylinders on offense as of late, posting at least 40 points in four games this year already. The same can also be said about the Wildcats offense, as they have recorded 86 total points over their last two outings alone. It is also important to note that Kansas State is a very solid 7-3 against the spread in the last ten meetings between these two BIG 12 rivals. This looks likes a rare scenario where there are two optimal plays from the same matchup, as the total has now gone OVER in six of the Longhorns last eight games. I’ll roll with the Wildcats against the spread while also taking the OVER on 57.5 total points scored in what should be a highly entertaining game here in Week 11.