The #6 overall Oklahoma Sooners (11-1) meet the #14 overall Texas Longhorns (9-3) on Saturday in the Big 12 Championship Game. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on December 1st at AT&T Stadium and the game will be broadcast on ABC.
Taking a look at the Week 14 college football odds, Oklahoma opened as a 7.5-point favorite earlier this week. That line hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Sooners are currently listed at -7.5. The total for the game is sitting at 78 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Oklahoma vs Texas
Texas locked up a spot in the Big 12 title game last weekend after a solid 24-17 victory over Kansas. The Longhorns have now won three games in a row, including a massive 24-10 triumph over Iowa State back in Week 12. QB Sam Ehlinger has played well this season, averaging over 230 passing yards per game while adding 23 touchdowns through the air. Overall, he has completed 64.4% of his passes and been picked off just four times in twelve games. Ehlinger has also been a threat on the ground, scoring 11 rushing touchdowns. He has also completed 64.4% of his passes and been picked off just four times in twelve games. WR Lil’Jordan Humphrey has been a huge contributor offensively as well, averaging almost 90 receiving yards per game and racking up eight touchdowns. As a whole, Texas is averaging 31.7 points per game on 413.8 total yards.
The Longhorns have been pretty mediocre defensively so far this season, allowing opponents to score an average of 25.2 points per game on 392.3 yards of total offense. They have really had a rough time defending against the pass, surrendering an alarming 255.8 yards per game through the air (104th overall).
Oklahoma improved to 11-1 overall last weekend after a thrilling 59-56 victory over West Virginia. The Sooners scored two defensive touchdowns and racked up almost 700 yards of total offense en route to their sixth straight win. QB Kyle Murray turned in an amazing performance, passing for 364 yards and three touchdowns while also adding 114 rushing yards and a touchdown on the ground. Murray has been outstanding this season, throwing for over 300 yards per game and 37 touchdowns in just 12 games. He has also been incredibly accurate, completing 70.6% of his passes and only getting picked off seven times. WR Marquise Brown leads the way for the receiving corps, averaging well over 100 yards per game and scoring 10 touchdowns during the regular season. On the ground, the duo of Kennedy Brooks and Trey Sermon have combined for 23 touchdowns after starting RB Rodney Anderson was lost back in Week 2. Overall, Oklahoma is currently averaging an astounding 50.3 points per game on 583.8 yards of total offense.
The Sooners had a rough regular season on the defensive side of the ball, giving up a whopping 32.8 points per game (100th) on 449.0 yards of total offense. They have been repeatedly exposed through the air, as opponents are averaging a healthy 286.6 passing yards per game (126th overall).
Big 12 Championship Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Texas +7.5
There is no doubt that Oklahoma is easily one of the top 2-3 best offensive teams in the entire country. They averaged more points per game than any other FBS school and racked up an average of 40+ more total yards of offense per game as well. However, the biggest concern about the Sooners has been their atrocious play on defense, as they currently rank outside the Top 100 overall in pretty much every major defensive category. While Texas hasn’t shown quite the same firepower on offense as their biggest Big 12 rival, they still have a ton of playmakers who can keep them in this game. They have also been much better on defense, as they gave up over a touchdown less per game than Oklahoma during the regular season.
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The Longhorns are a rock-solid 13-5-2 ATS over their last 20 games against opponents with a winning record. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, although it should be noted that this game is being played in Texas, so they should actually have even more of an advantage. Oklahoma is just 2-9 ATS over their last 11 neutral site games. They are also a dreadful 0-3-1 ATS in their last four conference games.
However, the biggest factor for my decision in this particular spot relates to what happened back in Week 6 when these two teams met in Oklahoma. Not only did the Longhorns pull off the huge road upset, they also handed the Sooners their only loss of the year. While I certainly believe that this showdown could go either way, I think getting a free touchdown in this matchup when the game is being played in Texas and the Longhorns have already shown they can hang with Oklahoma – and beat them – is a fantastic value play. I’m all over the free points in a game Texas could easily win outright against a leaky Sooners defense.