The Oklahoma Sooners look to stay alive in the Big 12 title race when they host the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Kickoff is at 8:00 EST on Saturday, October 28 at Memorial Stadium in Norman Oklahoma. The game will be televised nationally on either ABC or ESPN2.
Oddsmakers have the Sooners as 20.5-point favorites with an over/under of 75 points. Click here to check out a full list of Week 9 betting odds and links to game previews.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions
Things have not been easy for the no. 10 Sooners during Big 12 play. Aside from a loss to Iowa State, Oklahoma’s three conference wins have all been one-possession games. Quarterback Baker Mayfield continues to put up numbers that have him in the Heisman conversation. But the Oklahoma defense continues to be a problem, forcing the Sooners to overcome an 11-point deficit against Kansas State last week.
Of course, things haven’t been easy for Texas Tech either. The Red Raiders picked up a couple nice wins during the non-conference season over Arizona State and Houston. But Texas Tech is 1-3 in conference play, with their only win coming against lowly Kansas. Much like Oklahoma, the Red Raiders have a high-powered offense behind senior quarterback Nic Shimonek, but the defense is providing little support.
Vegas Free NCAAF Betting Pick: Texas Tech +20.5
I’m amazed at how high this spread is in favor of a team that struggled to hang on against winless Baylor. That doesn’t mean that Oklahoma should be on upset alert against Texas Tech. But the Sooners have not been dominant during Big 12 play, and so I find it hard to believe that they’ll beat Texas Tech by three touchdowns. I’ll gladly lean toward the Red Raiders and the points in this matchup.
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The Oklahoma defense is the real concern in this game. During Big 12 play, the Sooners are giving up nearly 35 points per game. That’s exactly the number of points they gave up last week against a Kansas State team that only threw the ball 14 times all game. The Sooners are susceptible against both the run and the pass. They have also struggled to create turnovers in Big 12 play.
For the most part, the Red Raiders are a passing team. Shimonek has completed 71% of his passes this year for over 2,300 yards with 18 touchdowns and just five interceptions. However, Texas Tech also has three running backs capable of creating big plays on the ground, much like Kansas State did against Oklahoma last week.
With Texas Tech averaging better than 40 points per game, I wouldn’t bet on the Oklahoma defense being able to turn things around. In fact, the Red Raiders are probably the best offensive team the Sooners have seen since starting conference play.
Of course, everything about the Oklahoma defense also applies to the Texas Tech defense. The Red Raiders are giving up nearly 35 points per game against Big 12 opponents. Mayfield and company could have a potential field day against the Texas Tech defense.
I feel confident saying that this game will be a shootout. In fact, the over is not a bad bet. But I’m more comfortable taking Texas Tech and the points. I don’t think the Oklahoma defense is good enough to slow down the Red Raiders and build a comfortable lead. Bottom line: the spread is way too much for the Sooners to cover.