This Saturday the No. 25 ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders will host the No. 12 ranked West Virginia Mountaineers. Kickoff is set for 12:00 EST at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock and will be televised on ESPN2.
Oddsmakers opens this one up with West Virginia as a 4-point road favorite, but that was quickly bet down to 3.5, despite most of the bets coming in on the Mountaineers. The total for this matchup is currently sitting at 77 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 5 betting odds and for more links to our game previews.
Texas Tech vs West Virginia Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Mountaineers come into this one off an impressive 35-6 win at home over Kansas State, easily covering as a 15-point favorite. It was West Virginia’s first action in two weeks, as they had their Week 3 game at NC State canceled because of Hurricane Florence. The Mountaineers improved to 3-0 ATS.
The Red Raiders come into this one off a 41-17 outright win as a 14.5-point dog at then No. 15 Oklahoma State. It was quite the showing for the Texas Tech defense to hold that Cowboys offense to just 17 points (shut them out in the 2nd half), especially given they had allowed 47 to Ole Miss in Week 1 and 49 the previous week at home to Houston. The Red Raiders are 3-1 ATS early on and have covered 3 straight.
This series has been one-sided of late. West Virginia has won each of the last 4 meetings, though 3 of the 4 wins did come by 11-points or less. Last year the Mountaineers won 46-35 at home as a 5.5-point favorite. The previous season they won 48-17 as a slim 3-point favorite at Texas Tech.
NCAA Football Free Pick & Betting Predictions: Texas Tech +3.5
I would have to lean towards taking the points here with the Red Raiders at home. I think Texas Tech has showed us a lot the last two weeks in their wins over two quality opponents in Oklahoma State and Houston. I know they lost their opener to Ole Miss, but keep in mind starting quarterback McLane Carter was knocked out of the game with an injury in the 1st quarter.
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The injury to Carter may have cost them that game against the Rebels, but it might have been a blessing at the same time. It opened the door for true freshman quarterback Alan Bowman, who has looked every bit the part of the next great Texas Tech quarterback. Bowman absolutely torched a decent Houston defense for 605 yards and 5 touchdowns two weeks ago and backed that up with 397 yards and 2 scores on the road against Oklahoma State.
I know it’s unlikely the Texas Tech defense will continue to give up points, but holding Oklahoma State to just 17 points is a very promising sign. If they get just a few more stops a game than they have in the past, it’s going to be extremely hard for teams to keep pace with that Red Raiders’ offense. Keep in mind that this was expected to be one of the best defenses Tech has fielded in quite some time, as they had 10 starters back from a unit that made big strides and was T-6th in the country with 29 takeaways.
I know West Virginia has the dynamic 1-2 punch of quarterback Will Grier and wide out David Sills, but the book is still out on this Mountaineers team. The win over Tennessee doesn’t look near as good after the Vols got routed at home by Florida this past Saturday. There’s also nothing to be excited about with their win over Kansas State, who simply isn’t that great this year.
Texas Tech is without a doubt the more battle-tested team and you also have to factor in this being the first true road game of the season for West Virginia and Jones AT&T Stadium is one of the more difficult places to play, especially when the fan base is excited about their team, which is definitely the case right now.
I also like the revenge angle here for Texas Tech and the fact that they are a home dog. That all but eliminates any possibility of the Red Raiders not being 100% locked in for this game. They also have a bye week on deck, so there’s literally no excuse for them to not lay it all on the line. Give me Texas Tech +3.5!