The Houston Texans (1-2) will host the Tennessee Titans (2-1) in a key AFC South matchup on Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at NRG Stadium and will be televised locally on CBS.

Depending on which book you shop at Tennessee is either a 1.5 or 2 point road favorite with a total at 43.5 or 44. Click on the link for a full list of the Week 4 NFL betting lines and more links to game previews.

Titans vs Texans Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions

Tennessee comes into this one of an impressive 33-27 win at home over the Seahawks as a slim 2.5-point home favorite. It was actually a defensive struggle early, as the Titans only led 9-7 at the half before both teams went off in the 2nd half. That’s now back-to-back covers for Tennessee after they failed to beat the number in their Week 1 loss at home to the Raiders.

Houston will come in looking to bounce back from a gut-wrenching 33-36 loss on the road against the Patriots. A game they certainly feel like they should have won. The Titans had a 33-28 lead and had New England in 3rd and 18 with 54 seconds to play. They gave up a 27 yards pass for the first down and on the very next play a 25-yard TD strike. The Texans easily covered the spread as a 13-point dog and have also covered their last two after a loss at home in their opener.

These two split their season series a year ago with the home team winning by a touchdown and covering as a short favorite. The Texans won 27-20 as a 4-point favorite and the Titans won 24-17 as a 3-point favorite. The win for Tennessee last year snapped a 5-game losing streak in the series.

NFL Betting Free Pick Against the Spread: Texans +2

I would have to lean towards taking the points with Houston at home in this one, as I’m not really sure why the Texans are a dog on their home field. It seems to me Houston isn’t getting near the love they should be getting after nearly going on the road and beating the Patriots with a rookie quarterback. A feat that had never been done (NE now 9-0 at home under Belichick vs. rookie signal callers).

Click here for more free NFL betting advice on the sides and totals of this week’s games.

I also think there’s a lot of love for the Titans right now off that win over the Seahawks. At the same time, I’m sure a lot of amateurs are score comparing. They see the Titans beat the Jaguars 37-16 on the road and the Texans lost at 7-29 at home to Jacksonville. That’s enough right there for most to just take the Tennessee with a line that you are essentially just predicting who will win the game.

I know it’s still a work in progress, but I really like what I have seen from Deshaun Watson since he took over the starting job from Tom Savage in Week 2. Note that Savage’s inability to get the offense going, played a big role in that lopsided loss to the Jaguars in Week 1. Watson threw for 301 yards and 2 scores, while also rushing for 41 yards on 8 attempts against the Patriots. There’s a different attitude and belief with this team since he’s been under center.

This Tennessee defense is certainly one he can have success against. The Titans rank in the bottom half of the league in both scoring defense (21st, 23 ppg) and total defense (27th, 367.3 ypg).

At the same time, I feel like Houston’s defense matches up well with this Tennessee offense. So much of what the Titans do offensively is built around their running game and then attacking with play action through the air. If you can keep the running game in check, you got a good shot at holding them to a low output offensively. Houston held Cincinnati to just 82 yards and the Patriots to 59 the past two weeks and are allowing just 3.6 yards/carry on the season.

For whatever reason the Titans have struggled to play well against struggling teams, as they are just 2-9 under head coach Mike Mularkey against a team with a losing record and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against teams allowing 24 or more ppg. Tennessee is also just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 off a game where both teams scored 24+ points and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after they put up 400 or more total yards in their last contest.