This Wednesday the Akron Zips will play host to the Toledo Rockets in Week 10 action. Kickoff is set for 7:30 EST at InfoCision Stadium and will be televised on ESPN2. Oddsmakers have the Rockets as a 8.5-point favorite with the total at 67 points.
Toledo vs Akron Vegas Point Spread Preview
The Rockets (6-2, 3-1 MAC) come into this one off a surprising 26-31 home loss to Ohio. Toledo lost outright as a 15-point favorite. The Rockets are now 1-3 ATS in their last 4 after opening the season 4-0.
The Zips (5-4, 3-2 MAC) had an equally shocking loss last week. Akron fell 20-41 at Buffalo as a 19.5-point favorite. The Zips were outgained int eh contest 306 to 518.
The good news for both teams is they are still alive in their respective divisions inside the MAC. Toledo is 1-game back of Western Michigan in the West, who they play on the road in the finale. Similar story for Akron. The Zips are 1-game back of Ohio in the East, who they play on the road in their final game.
Free Pick & Betting Predictions: Toledo -8.5
My early lean here is on the Rockets to cover as a 8.5-point road favorite. I think we would be seeing Toledo laying double-digits if not for last week’s loss to Ohio. I look for the Rockets to come out with a chip on their shoulder and deliver one of their best games of the season.
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Toledo’s defense let them down in their loss to the Bobcats. Ohio put up 512 yards of total offense with Dorian Brown rushing for 212 yards. They should be a lot better here against the Zips. Akron has little to no threat of a running game. The Zips are 110th in the country at just 135.3 ypg.
It’s also worth pointing out that Toledo has been a great bet after a poor showing defensively. The Rockets are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 450 or more total yards. They are also 7-3-2 ATS after allowing 200 or more rushing yards.
Another big key here is that Toledo seems to play their best on the road. The Rockets are a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. They aren’t just beating bad teams on the road either. Toledo is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Arkon was equally bad defensively in their last game, allowing 518 yards to Buffalo. However, the Zips have struggled in this spot. Akron is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 450+ yards. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.
The biggest thing for me, is I just don’t think Akron’s offense can keep pace in this one. Toledo has a dynamic offense that comes in ranked 6th in the country at 544 yards/game. The Zips are 118th in total defense, allowing 483 ypg. They also come in giving up 34.2 ppg. What concerning is Akron’s opponents on average are only putting up 26.4 ppg and 385 ypg. Essentially they are allowing 7.8 ppg and 98 ypg more than what their opponents average.