The BYU Cougars (2-2) travel to Ohio this weekend for a Week 5 matchup against the Toledo Rockets (2-1). Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, September 28th at Glass Bowl Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN+.

Taking a look at the Week 5 college football odds, Toledo opened as a 4.5-point home underdog earlier this week. That line has shifted substantially after early betting, as the Rockets are currently listed at +1.5. The total for the game is sitting at 58.5 points.

Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Toledo vs BYU

BYU dropped back .500 overall last weekend, getting crushed by #17 overall Washington 45-19 at home to move to 2-2 on the season. The Cougars fell behind 24-12 in the first half and never recovered, scoring just a single touchdown over the final two quarters. QB Zach Wilson didn’t play overly well, going 26/42 for 277 yards and a touchdown while also getting picked off once. RB Emmanuel Esukpa led the way on the ground, rushing nine times for 49 yards and a touchdown. WR Matt Bushman also had a decent outing, catching six passes for 89 yards and a score. As a whole, BYU gained just over 350 total yards of offense and scored two touchdowns against a tough Huskies defense.

The Cougars didn’t play well defensively against Washington, giving up almost 500 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. BYU struggled the most against the pass, allowing Huskies QB Jacob Eason to throw for 290 yards and three touchdowns.

Toledo won their second consecutive game last weekend, beating Colorado State 41-35 on the road to improve to 2-1 on the season overall. The Rockets led by just a single point at the half but managed to hang on over the final two quarters, outscoring the Rams 21-14 in a critical fifteen minute stretch. QB Mitchell Guadagni didn’t do much through the air, passing for just 111 yards and one touchdown. However, he did have a monster outing on the ground, rushing for 119 yards and a score. RB Bryant Koback was also a force to be reckoned with, exploding for 228 rushing yards and three touchdowns on only 19 carries. WR Bryce Mitchell led the way for the receiving corps, catching three passes for 69 yards. Overall, Toledo racked up just under 550 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns against a below average CSU defense.

The Rockets weren’t nearly as impressive on the other side of the ball, allowing Colorado State to generate almost 700 total yards of offense and score four touchdowns. Toledo was especially bad against the run, as Rams RB Marvin Kinsey Jr. rushed for 246 yards and two touchdowns on a game-high 23 carries.

NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: BYU -1.5

I’m somewhat surprised that this line has shifted downward by a full three points after the Cougars opened at -4.5, as I think they should have no problem winning this matchup despite playing on the road. While Toledo currently has the better record this season, their schedule to open the year has also been vastly easier. BYU has now played Utah, Tennessee, USC, and Washington – three of those teams are currently ranked inside of the AP Top 25. Even with their ridiculously tough schedule, the Cougars still sit at .500 overall.  On the other side, the Rockets have faced Kentucky, Murray State, and Colorado State – hardly FBS powerhouses.

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Brigham Young is a very solid 7-2 against the spread over their last nine games overall. They have also played extremely well on the road as of late, going 9-1 ATS in their last nine matchups away from LaVell Edwards Stadium. The Rockets haven’t fared nearly as well against the spread over the last few weeks, going only 1-2 ATS to start the season. After this game was bet down to basically a pick’em, BYU certainly offers pretty decent value on Saturday afternoon. Toledo has now given up 35+ points in two out of their three games, and their only successful outing defensively was against Murray State. I’ll take the Cougars to roll on the road here in Week 5- give me BYU!