The UCF Knights (7-3) head to New Orleans this weekend for an American Athletic Conference showdown with the Tulane Green Wave (6-4). Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on November 23rd at Yulman Stadium and the game will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
Taking a look at the Week 13 college football odds, Tulane opened as a 6-point home underdog earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Green Wave are currently available at +6. The total for the game is sitting at 69 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Tulane vs UCF
Central Florida couldn’t find a way to get past Tulsa on the road their last time out, getting upset 34-31 to drop to 7-3 on the season overall. The Knights had a 28-17 lead at the half but collapsed over the final two quarters, allowing the Golden Hurricane to score 17 unanswered points. QB Dillon Gabriel wasn’t at his best, going 23/38 for for 290 passing yards and a touchdown but also getting picked off twice as well. RB Adrian Killins led the way on the ground, rushing for 95 yards and a touchdown on just ten carries. Gabriel Davis also chipped in, making six receptions for 98 yards. As a whole, UCF gained over 450 total yards of offense and found the end zone four times despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
The Knights didn’t have a great outing on the other side of the ball against Tulsa, giving up over 350 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. UCF struggled to contain Golden Hurricane WR Keenen Johnson, as he hauled in six receptions for 75 yards and a touchdown.
Tulane has now lost three out of their last four games overall after falling 29-21 on the road against Temple last weekend. The Green Wave gave up nine unanswered points in the third quarter and never recovered, coming up over a touchdown short despite scoring 14 points of their own over the final 15 minutes of the game. QB Justin McMillan struggled at times, throwing an interception and going just 11/27 for 103 passing yards through the air. However, McMillan did lead the way on the ground for the offense, racking up 64 rushing yards on 17 carries. Darnell Mooney was the only member of the receiving corps to record more than 35 yards, making three catches for 38 yards. Overall, Tulane generated around 350 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns in the defeat.
The Green Wave were below average defensively against Temple, surrendering well over 400 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. Tulane had no answer for Owls WR Jadan Blue, as he torched the secondary for 131 yards and a touchdown on a game-high 12 receptions.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: UCF -6
While I also don’t really mind the OVER on 69 total points scored in an American Athletic Conference matchup that could easily turn into a shootout on Saturday afternoon, the optimal play in this spot is taking the Knights against the spread. Even though Tulane is a perfect 4-0 ATS at home so far this season, UCF should find a way to outscore a Green Wave offense that has been held to 21 points or less in two out of their last four games. The Knights have really been firing on all cylinders lately, scoring almost 180 total points over their last four outings combined – an average of close to 45 points per game.
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It is also important to note that Central Florida has really dominated the Green Wave against the spread in recent years, going a very impressive 6-2 ATS over their last eight meetings. There is no doubt that the Knights are experiencing a pretty big downswing at the moment, as they have now failed to cover the number in six out of their last seven games. Still, it is important to remember that this is the same Tulane team that couldn’t beat a Temple squad that UCF crushed 63-21 on the road in late October. I’m going to take a shot with the road favorite, as the Knights will be hungry for a bounce back performance after such a disappointing loss prior to their bye. Give me Central Florida to cover!